Süper LigFull time

Predictions graded

Gaziantep FK1Alanyaspor1

HT 0–1Sat 15 Aug 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 61%–39%ShotsShots 13–11On targetOn target 5–2CornersCorners 0–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Aug 2026, 01:40 · Europe/Bucharest

Alanyaspor’s eight-match unbeaten H2H run and Gaziantep’s poor form point to an away double chance, but the best betting value is on over 4.5 cards at 5.25, given both teams’ high card averages.

Expect a tight, low-scoring match with goals at both ends, though under 2.5 goals offers a small edge.

Context

Alanyaspor won 6 and drew 2 of the last 8 H2H matches since October 2022.
- The aggregate score across those 8 matches is 16-1 to Alanyaspor.
- Alanyaspor kept 5 clean sheets in those 8 meetings.
Gaziantep's official training report on 11 August confirmed Rădoi is leading preparations for the Alanyaspor match.
- The team worked on ball-winning and attacking organisation in the buildup.
- A new manager can lift performance, but early-season cohesion is uncertain.
Gaziantep's last 15 Süper Lig matches: 2 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses.
- They lost 4 of their last 5 home matches, conceding 2 goals in each defeat.
- The only home win in that period was a 3-0 victory over Kayserispor.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Alanyaspor

1.49fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 67%

−2.0ppshort

Alanyaspor are unbeaten in the last 8 H2H meetings (6W 2D) and Gaziantep have won only 2 of their last 15 overall, making a double chance for the away side the most likely outcome.

1 St Half Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Alanyaspor

1.35fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 74%

0.0ppshort

Alanyaspor have a slight edge in first-half performance and are unbeaten at halftime in the last 3 H2H meetings, while Gaziantep led at halftime in only 27% of recent matches.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings, and each side has shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns in recent matches.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Alanyaspor's strong H2H dominance and Gaziantep's poor recent form make a double chance for the away side the most likely outcome, supported by H2H psychology and current form.
- Alanyaspor unbeaten in last 8 H2H meetings (6W 2D), including 1-1 draw in most recent (Apr 2026).
- Gaziantep FK won only 2 of last 15 overall matches (2W 4D 9L), with 1 win in last 5.
- Alanyaspor lost only 1 of last 5 away matches (1W 3D 1L), showing resilience on the road.
- Gaziantep FK home form: 2W 2D 3L in last 7 home matches, conceding 1.57 goals per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDraw or AlanyasporEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates and similar halftime records, suggesting a high probability of a draw at the break.
- Gaziantep FK led at halftime in only 27% of last 15 matches; trailed in 40%.
- Alanyaspor led at halftime in 27% of last 15 matches; trailed in 33%.
- Last 2 H2H meetings were 0-0 and 1-1 at halftime.
- Gaziantep FK averaged 0.4 first-half goals; Alanyaspor averaged 0.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Alanyaspor's slight edge in first-half performance and H2H halftime record make a double chance for the away side in the first half a solid pick.
- Alanyaspor led at halftime in 2 of last 5 away matches; Gaziantep FK trailed at halftime in 2 of last 5 home matches.
- Gaziantep FK's first-half goal difference: -0.2 per match; Alanyaspor's: -0.2 per match.
- Alanyaspor unbeaten at halftime in last 3 H2H meetings (2 draws, 1 win).
- Gaziantep FK won only 1 first half in last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or AlanyasporEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half performances have been balanced, with both teams often drawing in the latter period, though limited data reduces confidence.
- Gaziantep FK second-half record: 2W 2D 1L in last 5 home matches.
- Alanyaspor second-half record: 1W 3D 1L in last 5 away matches.
- Last 2 H2H second halves ended 1-1 and 0-0.
- Both teams scored in second half in only 2 of last 5 matches for each side.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both halftime and fulltime is a plausible outcome given the teams' tendencies, but the low probability reflects the inherent difficulty of predicting exact sequences.
- Last 2 H2H meetings: 0-0 at HT, 1-1 FT; and 0-0 at HT, 0-0 FT.
- Gaziantep FK drew 2 of last 5 home matches; Alanyaspor drew 3 of last 5 away matches.
- Both teams have high draw rates in recent form: Gaziantep 4 draws in last 15, Alanyaspor 5 draws in last 15.
- First-half draw probability is high based on low scoring rates.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns in recent matches, and the H2H trend strongly supports goals at both ends.
- Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings, including the most recent 1-1 draw.
- Gaziantep FK scored in 4 of last 5 home matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
- Alanyaspor scored in 4 of last 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
- Gaziantep FK conceded in 4 of last 5 home matches; Alanyaspor conceded in 4 of last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H encounters have been low-scoring, and both teams' recent form shows a tendency for tight matches, making under 2.5 goals likely.
- Last 3 H2H meetings all had under 2.5 goals (1-1, 0-0, 0-1).
- Gaziantep FK's last 5 home matches averaged 2.2 total goals; 3 of 5 were under 2.5.
- Alanyaspor's last 5 away matches averaged 2.0 total goals; 4 of 5 were under 2.5.
- Both teams averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over last 15 matches, indicating moderate attacking output.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring trends from both teams and recent H2H data point to a possible goalless first half, though confidence is limited by small sample size.
- Gaziantep FK failed to score in first half in 3 of last 5 matches.
- Alanyaspor failed to score in first half in 3 of last 5 matches.
- Last 2 H2H first halves were 0-0.
- Combined first-half goals average: 0.9 per match across both teams' last 15.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gaziantep's defensive vulnerability at home and Alanyaspor's consistent away scoring make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Gaziantep FK kept only 1 clean sheet in last 7 home matches.
- Alanyaspor scored in 4 of last 5 away matches.
- Gaziantep FK conceded in 4 of last 5 home matches, averaging 1.6 goals against.
- Alanyaspor failed to score in only 1 of last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAlanyaspor to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Alanyaspor's away defensive record is poor, and Gaziantep's home scoring form suggests the away side will concede.
- Alanyaspor kept only 1 clean sheet in last 5 away matches.
- Gaziantep FK scored in 4 of last 5 home matches.
- Alanyaspor conceded in 4 of last 5 away matches, averaging 1.4 goals against.
- Gaziantep FK failed to score in only 1 of last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGaziantep FK to scoreEstimated chance65%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate moderate corner counts, and recent matches show a trend toward lower totals, making under 9.5 corners a reasonable expectation.
- Gaziantep FK averaged 5.0 corners per match over last 15; Alanyaspor averaged 4.7.
- Combined average corners in Gaziantep FK matches: 9.7; in Alanyaspor matches: 9.4.
- Last H2H meeting (Apr 2026) had only 4 corners total (2 each).
- In 4 of last 5 Gaziantep home matches, total corners were under 9.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently pick up cards, and their combined averages suggest a high likelihood of exceeding 4.5 cards, supported by recent H2H discipline records.
- Gaziantep FK averaged 2.4 yellow cards per match over last 15; Alanyaspor averaged 2.5.
- Combined average cards in Gaziantep FK matches: 4.9; in Alanyaspor matches: 4.8.
- Last H2H meeting had 5 yellow cards (Gaziantep 2, Alanyaspor 3).
- In 4 of last 5 Gaziantep home matches, total cards were over 4.5.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied probability of 45% leaves no edge against our 55% estimate; the price already reflects the low-scoring first-half expectation.

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

D1-1Gaziantep FKvAlanyasporApr 4, 2026SÜP

D0-0AlanyasporvGaziantep FKNov 3, 2025SÜP

L0-1Gaziantep FKvAlanyasporMay 9, 2025SÜP

L3-0AlanyasporvGaziantep FKDec 14, 2024SÜP

L0-3Gaziantep FKvAlanyasporApr 2, 2024SÜP

Alanyaspor unbeaten in 5 meetingsAlanyaspor: 4 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Süper Lig 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Gaziantep FK	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
10	Alanyaspor	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

Gaziantep FK leads the leagueAlanyaspor leads the league

Recent Form

Gaziantep FK

W3-0IMT Novi BeogradAug 3FRI

W2-1OFK BeogradJul 28FRI

D1-1FK VozdovacJul 23FRI

L1-2BaşakşehirMay 16SÜP

L1-2GöztepeMay 9SÜP

L0-2BeşiktaşMay 1SÜP

L0-3EyüpsporApr 25SÜP

W3-0KayserisporApr 20SÜP

L1-2RizesporApr 13SÜP

D1-1AlanyasporApr 4SÜP

L1-4FenerbahçeMar 17SÜP

W4-1AntalyasporMar 13SÜP

D1-1Fatih KaragümrükMar 8SÜP

L0-4FenerbahçeMar 4TÜR

D0-0SamsunsporMar 1SÜP

Alanyaspor

D2-2TikvešJul 16FRI

L1-2Fatih KaragümrükMay 16SÜP

W3-1KayserisporMay 9SÜP

D0-0AntalyasporMay 3SÜP

L2-3SamsunsporApr 27SÜP

L0-3BeşiktaşApr 23TÜR

L0-1KasımpaşaApr 19SÜP

D1-1TrabzonsporApr 11SÜP

D1-1Gaziantep FKApr 4SÜP

W5-0KocaelisporMar 18SÜP

D2-2GöztepeMar 14SÜP

D0-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Mar 9SÜP

L1-2GalatasarayMar 3TÜR

L1-3GalatasarayFeb 28SÜP

L1-2BaşakşehirFeb 21SÜP

Squad & Injuries

Gaziantep FK

27 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Alanyaspor

17 available

Attackers4

Midfielders5

Defenders7

Goalkeeper1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Over 4.5

Draw or Alanyaspor

Draw or Alanyaspor

Yes

Result3 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Under 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Gaziantep FK

Alanyaspor

Squad & Injuries

Gaziantep FK

Alanyaspor