Super LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Mladost Lucani1Radnicki Nis0

HT 1–0Sat 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 46%–54%ShotsShots 18–17On targetOn target 7–5CornersCorners 5–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Sep 2026, 00:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Mladost Lucani or Draw at 1.45 and Both Teams to Score 'No' at 1.91 for small positive edges.

Avoid the first-half under 1.5 goals market, where the odds imply 76.9% but our model estimates only 65%.

Context

Radnicki Nis are 13th in the Super Liga with 5 points from 6 matches, sitting in the relegation group.
Their away record shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses with just 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. In their most recent away match, they lost 1-0 to Macva on 2026-08-22. This lack of away goals suggests they may struggle to break down Mladost Lucani, who have conceded only 3 goals in 3 home matches.
- Radnicki Nis away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses, 2 goals for, 3 goals against in 4 matches.
- Lost 1-0 away to Macva on 2026-08-22.
Mladost Lucani's club director confirmed the 2026/27 SuperLiga will run with 14 clubs while the same number are relegated.
That structure makes early-season points more valuable for both teams, since the margin for error is smaller across the campaign. The claim does not specify how either side will approach this match tactically, but the shared incentive to avoid dropping points is clear.
- Mladost announced its 2026/27 preparations on 15 June.
- The club director said the league would have 14 clubs and that the same number would be relegated.
ConfirmedSources checked 3 Sep 2026, 00:14 · Europe/BucharestTV Arena Sport — Mladost appoints Radovan Ćurčićwww.tvarenasport.com · 15 Jun 2026
Mladost Lucani are 4th in the Super Liga with 10 points from 7 matches.
At home, they have 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 5 goals and conceding 3. Their home results include a 3-1 win over FK Partizan on 2026-08-23 and a 2-2 draw with Cukaricki on 2026-08-09. This home solidity could frustrate a Radnicki Nis side that has struggled on the road.
- Mladost Lucani home record: 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, 5 goals for, 3 goals against in 3 matches.
- Beat FK Partizan 3-1 at home on 2026-08-23.
Mladost Lucani's home defensive record is among the better ones in the league.
They have conceded 3 goals in 3 home matches, an average of 1.0 per game. In their last home match, they beat FK Partizan 3-1, but before that they drew 2-2 with Cukaricki. This defensive stability may limit Radnicki Nis, who have scored only 2 away goals all season.
- Mladost Lucani home goals against: 3 in 3 matches.
- Beat FK Partizan 3-1 at home on 2026-08-23.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.70fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have moderate scoring and conceding rates, suggesting a low-scoring match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Mladost's solid home form and Radnicki's poor away record, combined with home advantage in H2H, support a home win.
- Mladost Lucani home record this season: 1W 2D 0L, 5 goals scored, 3 conceded in 3 matches.
- Radnicki Nis away record this season: 1W 1D 2L, 2 goals scored, 3 conceded in 4 matches.
- H2H last 5 meetings: home team won 3, draws 2; Mladost won the last home meeting 2-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMladost LucaniEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Mladost's unbeaten home record and Radnicki's away struggles make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Mladost Lucani are unbeaten at home this season (1W 2D).
- Radnicki Nis have lost 2 of 4 away matches.
- H2H: Radnicki have not won at Mladost in the last 5 meetings (2 draws, 1 Mladost win).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonMladost Lucani or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into half-time level, especially Radnicki's low first-half scoring.
- Mladost Lucani led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailed in 20%.
- Radnicki Nis led at half-time in only 13% of matches, trailed in 27%.
- Both teams have a high proportion of draws at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time and full-time is plausible given both teams' tendency to draw.
- Mladost Lucani have drawn 4 of 7 league matches this season.
- Radnicki Nis have drawn 2 of 6 league matches.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 2 draws.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring and conceding rates, suggesting a low-scoring match.
- Mladost Lucani average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
- Radnicki Nis average 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 2.3 (Mladost) + 2.0 (Radnicki) = 2.15.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radnicki's poor scoring form and Mladost's defensive solidity make it likely at least one team fails to score.
- Mladost Lucani have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Radnicki Nis have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Radnicki Nis average only 0.9 goals per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score few goals in the first half, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Mladost Lucani average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Radnicki Nis average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Combined first-half average: 1.1 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Slightly higher scoring in second halves for both teams, but evidence is limited.
- Mladost Lucani average 0.7 second-half goals scored (total 1.4 - 0.7 first half).
- Radnicki Nis average 0.6 second-half goals scored (total 0.9 - 0.3 first half).
- Combined second-half average: 1.3 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have relatively low corner counts, suggesting under 9.5 total corners.
- Mladost Lucani average 2.8 corners per match.
- Radnicki Nis average 4.3 corners per match.
- Combined average corners: 7.1.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 8 shots on target combined, making under 8.5 likely.
- Mladost Lucani average 3.5 shots on target per match.
- Radnicki Nis average 4.5 shots on target per match.
- Combined average shots on target: 8.0.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, with combined yellows slightly above 4.5.
- Mladost Lucani average 2 yellow cards per match.
- Radnicki Nis average 2.7 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.7.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 42% equals our estimate; no cushion and medium confidence.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L1-0Radnicki NISvMladost LucaniMay 10, 2026SUP

W2-1Mladost LucanivRadnicki NISNov 29, 2025SUP

L3-1Radnicki NISvMladost LucaniJul 26, 2025SUP

D1-1Mladost LucanivRadnicki NISMar 16, 2025SUP

D1-1Radnicki NISvMladost LucaniOct 27, 2024SUP

2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Mladost Lucani Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	7	2	4	1	7-6	10	LWWDD
13	Radnicki Nis Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)	6	1	2	3	3-6	5	DLDWL

5pt gap between teamsRadnicki Nis in relegation zone

Recent Form

Mladost Lucani

L0-2IMT Novi BeogradAug 30SUP

W3-1FK PartizanAug 23SUP

W1-0ZemunAug 16SUP

D2-2CukarickiAug 9SUP

D0-0Železničar PančevoAug 3SUP

D0-0Novi PazarJul 26SUP

D1-1Radnik SurdulicaJul 19SUP

W2-1MacvaJul 5FRI

W1-0IMT Novi BeogradJul 1FRI

W3-1Novi PazarJun 28FRI

W1-0PetrovacJun 22FRI

W1-0NapredakMay 24SUP

W4-2JavorMay 16SUP

L0-1Radnicki NISMay 10SUP

W2-1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVMay 3SUP

Radnicki Nis

D1-1Radnicki 1923Aug 29SUP

L0-1MacvaAug 22SUP

D0-0IMT Novi BeogradAug 16SUP

W1-0ZemunAug 2SUP

L0-2CukarickiJul 25SUP

L1-2Železničar PančevoJul 17SUP

L0-3Neftchi BakuJul 10FRI

W2-0PříbramJul 7FRI

L0-2CsikszeredaJul 1FRI

W2-1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVMay 24SUP

W2-1TSC Backa TopolaMay 16SUP

W1-0Mladost LucaniMay 10SUP

W1-0NapredakMay 3SUP

L0-2IMT Novi BeogradApr 27SUP

W3-2JavorApr 23SUP

Squad & Injuries

Mladost Lucani

25 available

Attackers5

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Radnicki Nis

31 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper6

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Mladost Lucani or Draw

No

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Mladost Lucani

Radnicki Nis

Squad & Injuries

Mladost Lucani

Radnicki Nis