Second LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

CSKA Sofia II5Spartak Pleven1

HT 2–1Thu 3 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–192%

Edges7–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 23:16 · Europe/Bucharest

CSKA Sofia II are strong favourites based on form and head-to-head, but the home win odds offer no value.

The best betting edge is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 (+4 points), with Both Teams to Score at 1.91 also offering a small edge. Avoid short-priced markets like first-half Over 0.5 and away clean sheet 'No' due to heavy vig.

Context

CSKA Sofia II are 4th in the Second League with 11 points from 6 matches, while Spartak Pleven are 13th with 7 points.
In the most recent head-to-head on 30 November 2025, CSKA Sofia II won 4-0 at home. That result suggests CSKA Sofia II can create many chances against Spartak Pleven, but it is only one match and both teams have changed since then.
- On 2025-11-30, CSKA Sofia II beat Spartak Pleven 4-0 at home in the Second League.
Spartak Pleven midfielder V. Ivanov, identified by the club as captain, was sent off in the ninth minute of the 0-2 home loss to Vihren on 30 August.
His availability for this match remains unresolved because no formal disciplinary decision has been located. If suspended, Spartak would need to replace their captain in midfield, but the exact replacement and tactical adjustment are not yet known.
- Spartak Pleven reported that captain Viktor Ivanov received a direct red card in the ninth minute of the 0-2 home loss to Vihren on 30 August.
- The club identified CSKA II away on 3 September as Spartak's next Second League fixture.
To watchSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 23:15 · Europe/BucharestFK Spartak Pleven official match reportspartak-pleven.bg · 30 Aug 2026
CSKA Sofia II are 4th in the Second League with 11 points, while Spartak Pleven are 13th with 7 points.
CSKA Sofia II's recent league form is LDWWW, including a 4-3 win over Hebar 1918 on 11 August and a 3-0 win at Pirin Blagoevgrad on 3 August. Spartak Pleven's form is LLLDW, with losses to Vihren, Beroe, and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in August. This suggests CSKA Sofia II are scoring more consistently, but form can change quickly.
- CSKA Sofia II's last five league results: W, W, D, L, W (most recent first).
- Spartak Pleven's last five league results: L, L, L, D, W (most recent first).
Spartak Pleven are 13th in the Second League with 7 points from 6 matches.
Spartak Pleven's away record is 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their last two away league matches were a 3-0 loss at Beroe on 25 August and a 2-2 draw at Rilski Sportist on 9 August. This suggests they may find it hard to score against CSKA Sofia II, but the sample is small.
- Spartak Pleven have scored 4 goals in 3 away league matches this season.
- They lost 3-0 at Beroe on 2026-08-25 and drew 2-2 at Rilski Sportist on 2026-08-09.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CSKA Sofia II

1.47fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 68%

0.0ppshort

CSKA Sofia II's superior form, league position, and dominant recent H2H home win make them clear favourites.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CSKA Sofia II or Draw

1.18fair 1.18

BetBugs 85% · Market 85%

0.0ppshort

CSKA Sofia II's strong home form and Spartak's poor away record make a home win or draw highly likely.

1 St Half Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CSKA Sofia II or Draw

1.43fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 70%

0.0ppshort

CSKA Sofia II's strong first-half home record and Spartak's tendency to trail make a home win or draw at half-time likely.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.33fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

CSKA Sofia II's tendency to score early and Spartak's first-half defensive weakness suggest at least one first-half goal.

Team to ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

CSKA Sofia II to score

1.17fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 85.5%

0.0ppshort

Spartak Pleven's defence has been consistently breached, and CSKA Sofia II's attack is potent, making an away clean sheet very unlikely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's superior form, league position, and dominant recent H2H home win make them clear favourites.
- CSKA Sofia II are 4th with 11 points from 6 games, Spartak Pleven 13th with 7 points.
- CSKA Sofia II have won their last 3 league matches, scoring 8 goals in that run.
- Spartak Pleven have lost 3 of their last 4 league games, conceding 6 goals in those defeats.
- H2H: CSKA Sofia II won the last meeting 4-0 at home in November 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's strong home form and Spartak's poor away record make a home win or draw highly likely.
- CSKA Sofia II are unbeaten at home this season (1W, 1D).
- Spartak Pleven have lost 2 of 3 away games this season.
- CSKA Sofia II have lost only once in their last 6 league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCSKA Sofia II or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's superior first-half record and Spartak's tendency to trail at the break give the home side an edge.
- CSKA Sofia II lead at half-time in 33% of matches.
- Spartak Pleven trail at half-time in 53% of matches.
- CSKA Sofia II have won the first half in 3 of their last 6 league matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's ability to start strong and finish strong makes a home/home HT/FT double a plausible but not certain outcome.
- CSKA Sofia II lead at half-time in 33% of matches and win 50% of matches.
- Spartak Pleven trail at half-time in 53% of matches and lose 50% of matches.
- CSKA Sofia II won the last H2H 4-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonCSKA Sofia II / CSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's consistent scoring across halves and Spartak's defensive struggles make winning both halves a low-probability but possible outcome.
- CSKA Sofia II have won both halves in 2 of their last 6 league matches.
- Spartak Pleven have lost both halves in 2 of their last 6 league matches.
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.6 first-half goals and 1.4 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonCSKA Sofia IIEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's strong first-half home record and Spartak's tendency to trail make a home win or draw at half-time likely.
- CSKA Sofia II lead at half-time in 33% of matches and draw at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Spartak Pleven trail at half-time in 53% of matches.
- CSKA Sofia II have not trailed at half-time in their last 3 home matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonCSKA Sofia II or DrawEstimated chance70%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's high-scoring attack combined with Spartak's leaky defence points to a high-scoring match.
- CSKA Sofia II average 2.0 goals scored per game this season.
- Spartak Pleven average 1.9 goals conceded per game this season.
- CSKA Sofia II's home games have averaged 4.5 total goals (9 goals in 2 games).
- Spartak Pleven's away games have averaged 3.0 total goals (9 goals in 3 games).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown they can score, and CSKA Sofia II's defence is not watertight, making BTTS a reasonable bet.
- CSKA Sofia II have conceded in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- Spartak Pleven have scored in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- CSKA Sofia II's home games have seen both teams score in 1 of 2 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's tendency to score early and Spartak's first-half defensive weakness suggest at least one first-half goal.
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.6 first-half goals per game.
- Spartak Pleven average 0.4 first-half goals per game but concede 0.9 first-half goals per game.
- CSKA Sofia II have scored in the first half in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and CSKA Sofia II's attacking output should continue after the break.
- CSKA Sofia II average 1.4 second-half goals per game (2.0 total - 0.6 first half).
- Spartak Pleven average 0.7 second-half goals per game (1.1 total - 0.4 first half).
- CSKA Sofia II's home games have seen 4.5 total goals on average.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
CSKA Sofia II's defensive record suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a Spartak side that can score.
- CSKA Sofia II have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 6 league matches.
- Spartak Pleven have scored in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- CSKA Sofia II conceded in their last home match (4-3 win over Hebar).
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSpartak Pleven to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Spartak Pleven's defence has been consistently breached, and CSKA Sofia II's attack is potent, making an away clean sheet very unlikely.
- Spartak Pleven have conceded in all 6 league matches this season.
- CSKA Sofia II have scored in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- CSKA Sofia II scored 4 goals in the last H2H meeting.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCSKA Sofia II to scoreEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Spartak Pleven's poor first-half scoring record makes it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- CSKA Sofia II average 0.6 first-half goals, Spartak Pleven average 0.4 first-half goals.
- Spartak Pleven have failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- CSKA Sofia II have kept a first-half clean sheet in 3 of their last 6 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 18% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 15%; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

W4-0CSKA Sofia IIvSpartak PlevenNov 30, 2025SEC

L2-1Spartak PlevenvCSKA Sofia IIJul 27, 2025SEC

D0-0Spartak PlevenvCSKA Sofia IIMar 9, 2025SEC

D0-0CSKA Sofia IIvSpartak PlevenAug 25, 2024SEC

D1-1CSKA Sofia IIvSpartak PlevenApr 2, 2017SEC

CSKA Sofia II: 3 clean sheetsSpartak Pleven: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Second League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	CSKA Sofia II	6	3	2	1	10-6	11	LDWWW
13	Spartak Pleven	6	2	1	3	6-9	7	LLLDW

4pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia II

L0-1FratriaAug 29SEC

D1-1Ludogorets IIAug 25SEC

W1-0Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAug 17SEC

W4-3Hebar 1918Aug 11SEC

W3-0Pirin BlagoevgradAug 3SEC

D1-1VihrenJul 28SEC

W2-0Rilski SportistJul 11FRI

D1-1MontanaJul 1FRI

W2-1Sportist SvogeJun 27FRI

W3-0Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaMay 23SEC

W2-1FK Minyor PernikMay 11SEC

L0-1Yantra 2019May 4SEC

D2-2FratriaApr 26SEC

W2-0Hebar 1918Apr 22SEC

W6-1SevlievoApr 17SEC

Spartak Pleven

L0-2VihrenAug 30SEC

L0-3BeroeAug 25SEC

L0-1Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaAug 16SEC

D2-2Rilski SportistAug 9SEC

W2-1MarekAug 1SEC

W2-0Yantra 2019Jul 25SEC

L1-3MontanaJul 18FRI

L0-2Hapoel Petah TikvaJul 14FRI

L1-2Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaJul 11FRI

W2-0Yantra 2019Jul 7FRI

L0-1Cherno More VarnaJul 3FRI

L1-2Botev VratsaJul 1FRI

L0-4Botev PlovdivJun 23FRI

L1-3Ludogorets IIMay 23SEC

W5-2Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaMay 15SEC

Squad & Injuries

CSKA Sofia II

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper5

Spartak Pleven

23 available

Attackers7

Midfielders10

Defenders4

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Yes

CSKA Sofia II

CSKA Sofia II or Draw

CSKA Sofia II or Draw

Over 0.5

CSKA Sofia II to score

Result6 of 6 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Markets to Avoid

Spartak Pleven

Spartak Pleven

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia II

Spartak Pleven

Squad & Injuries

CSKA Sofia II

Spartak Pleven