Second LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Yantra Gabrovo2Pirin Blagoevgrad0

HT 0–0Wed 2 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges6–555%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 00:06 · Europe/Bucharest

Yantra are strong favourites at home against a Pirin side with a catastrophic away record, but the outright odds offer no value.

The best edge is 'Pirin clean sheet – No' at 1.57 (model 85% vs implied 63.7%), with 'Both teams to score – Yes' at 2.20 also showing value. Avoid the heavily juiced home win and over/under markets.

Context

Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th in the Second League with 0 points from 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 22.
Their last five league results are all defeats, including a 0-7 loss at Nesebar on 2026-08-23 and a 0-3 home loss to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on 2026-08-29. This run shows a defence that has struggled badly, which Yantra Gabrovo's attack can target.
- Pirin Blagoevgrad have lost all 6 league matches this season, scoring 3 and conceding 22.
- They lost 0-7 away to Nesebar on 2026-08-23.
- They lost 0-3 at home to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on 2026-08-29.
Yantra Gabrovo are 8th in the Second League with 10 points from 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
They beat Sportist Svoge 1-0 at home on 2026-08-23 and Dobrudzha 1-0 away on 2026-08-16, showing they can keep clean sheets. Their only recent league defeat was 1-2 at Etar Veliko Tarnovo on 2026-08-03, so they are in solid form.
- Yantra Gabrovo have won 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- They beat Sportist Svoge 1-0 at home on 2026-08-23.
- They beat Dobrudzha 1-0 away on 2026-08-16.
Pirin Blagoevgrad head coach Petar Kosturkov took charge for the first time in the 29 August 0-3 home defeat to Chernomorets, immediately after his appointment.
Kosturkov has had only one match and a short preparation window to install changes in selection or defensive organisation before this away match. The limited time reduces the likelihood that his ideas are fully embedded, so Pirin's approach may still reflect the previous regime.
- Pirin’s club post, reproduced on 28 August, said Petar Kosturkov would lead the team against Chernomorets and had conducted that day's training session in Riltsi.
- Local reporting confirmed that Kosturkov made his debut in the 29 August 0-3 home defeat to Chernomorets and identified Yantra away as the next fixture.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 00:04 · Europe/BucharestFootball24.bg — Petar Kosturkov appointed to lead Pirinfootball24.bg · 28 Aug 2026Vestnik Struma — Pirin's first match under Kosturkovstruma.bg · 1 Sep 2026
Pirin Blagoevgrad have played 3 away league matches this season, losing all of them.
They conceded 13 goals in those away games, including 7 at Nesebar and 5 at Dobrudzha. This suggests they struggle on the road, which is a concern for this match at Yantra Gabrovo.
- Pirin Blagoevgrad have lost all 3 away league matches, conceding 13 goals and scoring 1.
- They lost 0-7 at Nesebar on 2026-08-23.
- They lost 1-5 at Dobrudzha on 2026-07-28.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yantra's solid home form and Pirin's catastrophic away defensive record make a home win the most likely outcome.
- Yantra home record: 2W-0D-1L, 4 goals for, 4 against in 3 home matches
- Pirin away record: 0W-0D-3L, 1 goal for, 13 against in 3 away matches
- Pirin overall: 0W-0D-6L, 3 goals for, 22 against in 6 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonYantra GabrovoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's away form is so poor that a Yantra win or draw is highly probable, with the double chance offering strong safety.
- Yantra home record: 2W-0D-1L
- Pirin away record: 0W-0D-3L
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, 2 Pirin wins, 1 Yantra win
BetBugs · Double ChancewonYantra Gabrovo or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yantra's stronger first-half performance and Pirin's early defensive issues give the home side an edge at the break.
- Yantra led at half-time in 40% of matches
- Pirin trailed at half-time in 47% of matches
- Yantra first half goals: 0.5 average vs Pirin conceded 1.0 average
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostYantra GabrovoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yantra's ability to lead early and Pirin's inability to recover make a home HT/FT double a solid value pick.
- Yantra led at half-time in 40% of matches and won 50% overall
- Pirin trailed at half-time in 47% and lost all 6 matches
- Pirin away record: 0 wins, 3 losses
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostYantra Gabrovo / Yantra GabrovoEstimated chance40%

Goals7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's leaky defense and Yantra's decent home scoring suggest a high-scoring match, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Pirin away matches average 4.67 total goals (13 conceded + 1 scored in 3 games)
- Yantra home matches average 2.67 total goals (4 for + 4 against in 3 games)
- Pirin overall matches average 4.17 total goals (22 conceded + 3 scored in 6 games)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Yantra's consistent scoring and Pirin's occasional goals despite heavy losses make both teams scoring a reasonable possibility.
- Yantra scored in 5 of 6 league matches this season
- Pirin scored in 3 of 6 league matches, including 2 in one game
- Pirin conceded in all 6 league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's tendency to concede early and Yantra's moderate first-half scoring make a first-half goal likely.
- Yantra first half goals: 0.5 average, conceded 0.3 average
- Pirin first half goals: 0.3 average, conceded 1.0 average
- Pirin trailed at half-time in 47% of matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's defensive collapse often worsens late, and Yantra's scoring continues after the break, making over 1.5 second-half goals plausible.
- Pirin conceded 22 goals in 6 matches, many in second halves
- Yantra scored 7 goals in 6 matches, with several after half-time
- Pirin's away matches have seen 13 goals conceded in 3 games
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Pirin's away scoring struggles give Yantra a chance at a clean sheet, though Yantra's own defensive record is mixed.
- Yantra kept 2 clean sheets in 6 league matches
- Pirin failed to score in 3 of 6 league matches
- Pirin scored only 1 goal in 3 away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonPirin Blagoevgrad not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's defense has been breached in every match, making an away clean sheet highly unlikely.
- Pirin conceded in all 6 league matches
- Pirin conceded 13 goals in 3 away matches
- Yantra scored in 5 of 6 league matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYantra Gabrovo to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yantra's home scoring and Pirin's away defensive frailty support the home team scoring at least twice.
- Yantra scored 4 goals in 3 home matches (1.33 average)
- Pirin conceded 13 goals in 3 away matches (4.33 average)
- Yantra scored 2+ goals in 2 of 3 home matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonYantra Gabrovo over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's away attack is nearly non-existent, making it likely they score fewer than two goals.
- Pirin scored 1 goal in 3 away matches
- Pirin scored 3 goals in 6 overall matches
- Yantra conceded 4 goals in 3 home matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonPirin Blagoevgrad under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A Yantra win without conceding is possible given Pirin's away scoring woes, but Yantra's own defensive lapses lower confidence.
- Yantra won 2 home matches, one by 1-0
- Pirin failed to score in 3 of 6 matches
- Pirin scored only 1 away goal in 3 matches
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonYesEstimated chance30%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Pirin's winless and defensively porous record makes an away win to nil virtually impossible.
- Pirin has 0 wins in 6 matches
- Pirin has 0 away wins in 3 matches
- Pirin conceded in every match
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance95%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 85% leaves no cushion vs our 70% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

D2-2Pirin BlagoevgradvYantra 2019Dec 1, 2025SEC

D1-1Yantra 2019vPirin BlagoevgradJul 25, 2025SEC

L1-0Pirin BlagoevgradvYantra 2019May 5, 2025SEC

W0-1Yantra 2019vPirin BlagoevgradNov 4, 2024SEC

W0-2Yantra 2019vPirin BlagoevgradFeb 21, 2021SEC

Yantra Gabrovo: 2 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Second League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Yantra Gabrovo	6	3	1	2	7-7	10	DWWWL
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	6	0	0	6	3-22	0	LLLLL

10pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Yantra Gabrovo

D1-1NesebarAug 29SEC

W1-0Sportist SvogeAug 23SEC

W1-0DobrudzhaAug 16SEC

W3-2MontanaAug 11SEC

L1-2Etar Veliko TarnovoAug 3SEC

L0-2Spartak PlevenJul 25SEC

D1-1FratriaJul 10FRI

L0-2Spartak PlevenJul 7FRI

W3-2Ludogorets IIJul 4FRI

L0-1Cherno More VarnaJun 24FRI

L1-2Septemvri SofiaMay 28FIR

W3-1BelasitsaMay 23SEC

W1-0Dunav RuseMay 15SEC

D0-0VihrenMay 11SEC

W1-0CSKA Sofia IIMay 4SEC

Pirin Blagoevgrad

L0-3Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAug 29SEC

L0-7NesebarAug 23SEC

L2-3Hebar 1918Aug 18SEC

L0-1Sportist SvogeAug 9SEC

L0-3CSKA Sofia IIAug 3SEC

L1-5DobrudzhaJul 28SEC

L0-2MarekJul 11FRI

L0-3FratriaMay 23SEC

W4-1SevlievoMay 15SEC

L0-2Sportist SvogeMay 11SEC

D0-0MarekMay 2SEC

L2-3Etar Veliko TarnovoApr 25SEC

D2-2Hebar 1918Apr 16SEC

L0-2Chernomorets 1919 BurgasApr 9SEC

D0-0Ludogorets IIApr 4SEC

Squad & Injuries

Yantra Gabrovo

24 available

Attackers4

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Pirin Blagoevgrad

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Yantra Gabrovo2Pirin Blagoevgrad0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yantra Gabrovo at half-time / Yantra Gabrovo at full-time

Yes

Yantra Gabrovo to score

Yantra Gabrovo

Yantra Gabrovo or Draw

Yantra Gabrovo

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals7 of 10 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yantra Gabrovo

Yantra Gabrovo or Draw

Over 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Yantra Gabrovo

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Squad & Injuries

Yantra Gabrovo

Pirin Blagoevgrad