Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 55%
Gimnasia's dominant home form (10W 2D 1L) against Agropecuario's poor away record (1W 4D 8L) makes a home win the most likely outcome, but the odds are fair.
Primera NacionalFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Gimnasia Jujuy are strong favorites at home and can go top of Zona B with a win, but the odds on a home victory (1.83) offer no value.
The best edge is on the double chance (Gimnasia or Draw) at 1.20, though the return is small; avoid the heavily juiced first-half Under 1.5 goals market.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Gimnasia y Esgrima JujuyMarket 54.6% · BetBugs 55%
Gimnasia's dominant home form (10W 2D 1L) against Agropecuario's poor away record (1W 4D 8L) makes a home win the most likely outcome, but the odds are fair.
Market 83.3% · BetBugs 85%
Gimnasia's home dominance and Agropecuario's away struggles make a home win or draw highly probable, though the odds offer only a small edge.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Agropecuario's poor away scoring and Gimnasia's solid home defense make it likely at least one team fails to score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; the first-half draw is already priced as the most likely outcome.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy has fulfilled 3 of 6 win predictions. The average estimated probability was 55.5%, with an expected 3.3 fulfilled predictions, so actual results are close to expectation. At home, they have won 3 of 4 such matches, while away they have failed to win in both attempts.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gimnasia y Esgrima JujuyPromotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39-32 | 45 |
| 15 | Agropecuario Argentino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22-30 | 29 |

