SuperettanFull time

Predictions graded

Varbergs BoIS3IK Oddevold1

HT 3–0Sun 30 Aug 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–363%

Edges4–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 05:12 · Europe/Bucharest

Varbergs BoIS are favored at home but the market is efficient across most lines, with no clear value in match winner, double chance, or goals markets.

The first-half over 0.5 goals is a strong avoid at 1.30. Confirm the official 15:00 kickoff time before betting.

Context

Varbergs BoIS are third in Superettan with 34 points from 20 matches, placing them in the promotion play-off spot.
They are only one point ahead of fourth-placed Ostersunds FK, so a loss could drop them out of the play-off places. Oddevold are five points behind in eighth, so a win for the visitors would close the gap and increase the pressure on Varbergs.
- Varbergs BoIS are 3rd with 34 points, described as 'Promotion Play-offs'.
- Ostersunds FK are 4th with 34 points, only behind on goal difference.
- Oddevold are 8th with 29 points, five points behind Varbergs.
Varbergs BoIS have lost three of their last five league matches, with their most recent result a 2-1 defeat at Orebro SK on 25 August.
That run includes a 1-0 home loss to Sandviken on 9 August and a 3-0 away loss to Osters IF on 27 July. The poor form is a concern for a team trying to hold onto a promotion play-off place, and Oddevold may see an opportunity to take points from a side that has been struggling.
- Varbergs BoIS lost 2-1 at Orebro SK on 25 August 2026.
- Varbergs BoIS lost 1-0 at home to Sandviken on 9 August 2026.
- Varbergs BoIS lost 3-0 at Osters IF on 27 July 2026.
Oddevold are unbeaten in their last five league matches, with wins over Helsingborg and Ljungskile and draws against Landskrona, Norrby, and Orebro.
Their most recent result was a 3-1 home win over Helsingborg on 23 August. This run has helped them stay in the top half, and they will look to continue that form against a Varbergs side that has been inconsistent.
- Oddevold won 3-1 at home to Helsingborg on 23 August 2026.
- Oddevold drew 1-1 at Landskrona BoIS on 14 August 2026.
- Oddevold won 1-0 at Ljungskile SK on 8 August 2026.
IK Oddevold defender Esim Mehmed started four of the last five available fixtures before his foot injury.
The club's stated several-week rest period rules him out of this match, removing a regular starter from the away side's defensive selection. Oddevold must adjust their back line without a player who had been consistently involved.
- Oddevold reported on 21 August that Mehmed sustained a foot injury against Landskrona BoIS.
- The club said he needed to rest for several weeks.
- E. Mehmed started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:02 · Europe/BucharestIK Oddevold: Rehabstatus i truppenoddevold.se · 21 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Varbergs BoIS or Draw

1.38fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

Varbergs BoIS' strong home record (6W-1D-3L) and higher league position make them unlikely to lose, but the odds already reflect that probability.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.73fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have decent scoring records and the recent H2H was high-scoring, but the edge is marginal and the odds are slightly below fair value.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.65fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have consistent scoring records and the recent H2H saw both teams score, but the odds are slightly below fair value.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 0.5

1.30fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have a tendency to score in the first half, but the odds are extremely short and offer no value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Varbergs BoIS' stronger home form and higher league position, combined with the recent H2H win, give them a moderate edge despite Oddevold's solid away record.
- Varbergs BoIS home record: 6W-1D-3L, 17 goals for, 11 against in 10 home matches
- IK Oddevold away record: 4W-4D-2L, 18 goals for, 15 against in 10 away matches
- Varbergs BoIS overall rank 3 with 34 points vs Oddevold rank 8 with 29 points
- Varbergs BoIS won the latest H2H 4-2 away on 18 July 2026
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVarbergs BoISEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Varbergs BoIS' strong home form and higher league position make them unlikely to lose, and the double chance covers the draw possibility.
- Varbergs BoIS home record: 6W-1D-3L, 17 goals for, 11 against in 10 home matches
- IK Oddevold away record: 4W-4D-2L, 18 goals for, 15 against in 10 away matches
- Varbergs BoIS overall rank 3 with 34 points vs Oddevold rank 8 with 29 points
- Varbergs BoIS won the latest H2H 4-2 away on 18 July 2026
BetBugs · Double ChancewonVarbergs BoIS or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half scoring rates and a significant chance of being level at the break, making a draw the most likely first-half outcome.
- Varbergs BoIS led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 27%
- IK Oddevold led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%
- Varbergs BoIS average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded
- IK Oddevold average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Varbergs BoIS win is plausible given their home strength and Oddevold's tendency to be level at the break.
- Varbergs BoIS home record: 6W-1D-3L, 17 goals for, 11 against in 10 home matches
- IK Oddevold away record: 4W-4D-2L, 18 goals for, 15 against in 10 away matches
- Varbergs BoIS led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 27%
- IK Oddevold led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Varbergs BoISEstimated chance18%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have decent scoring records and the recent H2H was high-scoring, suggesting a good chance of over 2.5 goals.
- Varbergs BoIS average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match overall
- IK Oddevold average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match overall
- Latest H2H ended 4-2 (6 goals) on 18 July 2026
- Varbergs BoIS home matches average 2.8 total goals (17 for, 11 against in 10)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and the recent H2H saw both teams score, making BTTS likely.
- Varbergs BoIS average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match overall
- IK Oddevold average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match overall
- Latest H2H ended 4-2 with both teams scoring
- Varbergs BoIS home matches: 17 goals for, 11 against in 10
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to score in the first half, with combined first-half goal averages above 1.0, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Varbergs BoIS average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded
- IK Oddevold average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded
- Varbergs BoIS led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 27%
- IK Oddevold led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H showed a high-scoring second half, and both teams' overall scoring rates suggest a decent chance of over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Varbergs BoIS average 1.9 total goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match
- IK Oddevold average 1.5 total goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match
- Latest H2H had 6 goals, with 4 in the second half (2-2 at half-time)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 5-6 corners per match, and their combined average suggests a total near 10, making over 9.5 corners a coin-flip.
- Varbergs BoIS average 4.8 corners per match overall
- IK Oddevold average 6.0 corners per match overall
- Varbergs BoIS home matches: 3,4,7,4,3,5,6,6 corners in recent home games
- IK Oddevold away matches: 9,4,8,3 corners in recent away games
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average shots on target is around 9.6, and recent home/away splits support a total above 8.5.
- Varbergs BoIS average 5.4 shots on target per match overall
- IK Oddevold average 4.2 shots on target per match overall
- Varbergs BoIS home matches: 5,1,4,7,7,6,9 shots on target in recent home games
- IK Oddevold away matches: 2,3,5,4 shots on target in recent away games
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 45.5% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W2-4OddevoldvVarbergs BoIS FCJul 18, 2026SUP

D0-0Varbergs BoIS FCvOddevoldFeb 7, 2026FRI

D1-1Varbergs BoIS FCvOddevoldSep 28, 2025SUP

W0-3OddevoldvVarbergs BoIS FCJul 12, 2025FRI

L2-1OddevoldvVarbergs BoIS FCJun 22, 2025SUP

Varbergs BoIS: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Superettan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Varbergs BoIS Promotion Play-offs	20	10	4	6	35-26	34	LDLWL
8	IK Oddevold	20	7	8	5	33-28	29	WDWDD

5pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Varbergs BoIS

L1-2Orebro SKAug 25SUP

W5-0BöljanAug 18SVE

D0-0United NordicAug 15SUP

L0-1SandvikenAug 9SUP

W2-1Falkenbergs FFAug 1SUP

L0-3Osters IFJul 27SUP

W4-2OddevoldJul 18SUP

W4-2Norrby IFJul 11FRI

W2-1Osters IFJun 27SUP

L2-3Landskrona BoISJun 22SUP

L0-2IFK NorrkopingJun 15SUP

W2-0Norrby IFJun 10SUP

W3-1Ljungskile SKMay 30SUP

W1-0GIF SundsvallMay 24SUP

W3-1HelsingborgMay 19SUP

IK Oddevold

W3-1HelsingborgAug 23SUP

D1-1Landskrona BoISAug 14SUP

W1-0Ljungskile SKAug 8SUP

D0-0Norrby IFJul 31SUP

D0-0Orebro SKJul 27SUP

L2-4Varbergs BoIS FCJul 18SUP

D3-3United NordicJun 27SUP

D0-0Ljungskile SKJun 22SUP

W2-0Norrby IFJun 14SUP

L1-2IFK NorrkopingJun 9SUP

L1-2Falkenbergs FFMay 30SUP

W1-0Ostersunds FKMay 23SUP

W4-1Orebro SKMay 18SUP

D2-2HelsingborgMay 13SUP

D1-1Landskrona BoISMay 9SUP

Squad & Injuries

Varbergs BoIS

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

IK Oddevold

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Varbergs BoIS or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Varbergs BoIS -1

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Varbergs BoIS

IK Oddevold

Squad & Injuries

Varbergs BoIS

IK Oddevold