Zaglebie Lubin00 – 0Pogon Szczecin0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Pogon's strong H2H record and away resilience make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance on the away side or draw.

• Pogon Szczecin have not lost to Zaglebie Lubin in their last three competitive meetings (2 wins, 1 draw)
• Zaglebie Lubin have drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 home matches against Pogon Szczecin in Ekstraklasa
• Pogon Szczecin away form: unbeaten in last 3 away matches across all competitions (2 wins, 1 draw)

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Pogon SzczecinEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have similar first-half profiles with a high likelihood of being level at the break.

• Zaglebie Lubin led at half-time in 33% of matches and trailed in 20%
• Pogon Szczecin led at half-time in 33% of matches and trailed in 27%
• In the last competitive H2H, the half-time result was a draw

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate scoring rates and the most recent competitive H2H was low-scoring, suggesting a tight match with under 2.5 goals.

• Zaglebie Lubin average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per match in last 15 matches
• Pogon Szczecin average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match in last 15 matches
• Last two competitive H2H meetings produced 1 and 6 total goals, but the 6-goal game was an outlier; the most recent competitive meeting had 1 goal

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Pogon's defensive record in this fixture and on the road this season points to at least one team failing to score.

• Pogon Szczecin kept clean sheets in their last two competitive meetings against Zaglebie Lubin
• Zaglebie Lubin failed to score in 3 of their last 5 competitive matches against Pogon Szczecin
• Pogon Szczecin away clean sheet rate this season: 100% (1 match, 0 conceded)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Pogon's recent defensive solidity against Zaglebie and away form give them a reasonable chance of another clean sheet, though Zaglebie's home scoring record tempers confidence.

• Pogon Szczecin kept clean sheets in their last two competitive H2H meetings
• Pogon Szczecin have not conceded in their only away league match this season
• Zaglebie Lubin have failed to score in 2 of their last 4 home matches across all competitions

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonZaglebie Lubin not to scoreEstimated chance38%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.

• Zaglebie Lubin average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.3 first-half goals conceded per match
• Pogon Szczecin average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 first-half goals conceded per match
• In the last competitive H2H (15 May 2026), the first half ended 0-0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have relatively low corner counts, and the most recent competitive meeting had 9 corners, supporting under 9.5.

• Zaglebie Lubin average 4.0 corners per match and concede 10.0 opponent corners per match (but this is skewed by one match with 15 opponent corners)
• Pogon Szczecin average 3.3 corners per match and concede 5.0 opponent corners per match
• In the last competitive H2H, total corners were 9 (Zaglebie 3, Pogon 6)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined disciplinary averages suggest a moderately high chance of over 3.5 cards, though variance is high.

• Zaglebie Lubin average 2.3 yellow cards per match and 1 red card in last 15 matches
• Pogon Szczecin average 1.9 yellow cards per match and 0.5 red cards in last 15 matches
• Combined average yellow cards per match: 4.2, above the 3.5 line

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate shot accuracy, and the combined average is under the line, though individual match variance is high.

• Zaglebie Lubin average 3.3 shots on target per match and concede 3.3 opponent shots on target
• Pogon Szczecin average 4.5 shots on target per match and concede 4.5 opponent shots on target
• Combined average shots on target per match: 7.8, below the 8.5 line