Pogon Szczecin or Draw
BetBugs 72% · Market 72.5%
Pogon Szczecin have lost only 1 of their last 5 competitive matches and Wisla Krakow have lost both away league games this season, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Pogon Szczecin are likely to avoid defeat at home against a leaky Wisla Krakow side, but the double chance odds (1.38) offer no value.
The goals markets are overpriced relative to our model, so the best approach is to avoid betting or wait for better prices.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 72.5%
Pogon Szczecin have lost only 1 of their last 5 competitive matches and Wisla Krakow have lost both away league games this season, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
BetBugs 58% · Market 64.5%
Wisla's leaky away defense and high-scoring recent matches suggest a strong likelihood of at least three goals.
BetBugs 60% · Market 69%
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Wisla Krakow's defensive vulnerabilities make it likely both will find the net.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 43% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon SzczecinPlay-offs | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-2 | 6 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8-8 | 6 |

