EkstraklasaFull time

Predictions graded

Wisla Krakow2Wieczysta Krakow0

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–640%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 40%–60%ShotsShots 11–15On targetOn target 7–4CornersCorners 4–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 16:27 · Europe/Bucharest

The best value is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15 odds (model edge +13.5 points), as both teams average over one second-half goal combined.

Avoid Over 0.5 first-half goals (odds imply 80% vs model 70%) and the straight home win, which offers no cushion. The derby context and recent H2H draws suggest a tight match, but Wisla's perfect home record makes them slight favourites.

Context

Wieczysta Krakow are 17th in the 18-team Ekstraklasa with 3 points from 4 matches, one point behind 16th-placed Radomiak Radom.
They have lost three of their four league games, including a 3-2 defeat at Cracovia Krakow on 21 August 2026. Their away record is one win and two losses, with seven goals scored and eight conceded. Facing a Wisla Krakow side that has won both home matches, Wieczysta need a result to avoid falling further behind in the relegation fight.
- Wieczysta Krakow are 17th with 3 points from 4 matches, one point behind 16th-placed Radomiak Radom.
- They have lost three of their four league games, including a 3-2 defeat at Cracovia Krakow on 21 August 2026.
- Their away record is one win and two losses, with seven goals scored and eight conceded.
Željko Kopić was appointed Wieczysta Kraków head coach on 26 August 2026 and takes charge for the first time in this derby.
Kopić has conducted only one training session before this match, with counter-pressing among the ideas introduced. That limited preparation makes Wieczysta's tactical structure and selection harder to infer from their previous fixtures. Wisła's coach said the late change created uncertainty about how the opponent may defend and attack.
- Ekstraklasa confirmed Željko Kopić as Wieczysta’s new manager and stated that his debut would come in round six.
- TVP Sport reported that Kopić had conducted one training session before the derby, with counter-pressing among the ideas introduced.
- Mariusz Jop said the late coaching change made it harder for Wisła to prepare for how Wieczysta may defend and attack.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 · Europe/BucharestEkstraklasaekstraklasa.org · 26 Aug 2026TVP Sportsport.tvp.pl · 28 Aug 2026WisłaPortalwislaportal.pl · 28 Aug 2026
Wisla Krakow are 7th in the Ekstraklasa with 7 points from 5 matches.
They have won both home games, beating Wisla Plock 2-1 on 7 August 2026 and GKS Katowice 2-1 on 26 July 2026. Their home form contrasts with an away record of no wins in three. This home strength could be important against a Wieczysta Krakow side that has struggled on the road.
- They beat Wisla Plock 2-1 on 7 August 2026 and GKS Katowice 2-1 on 26 July 2026.
- Their away record is no wins in three matches.
Wisla Krakow and Wieczysta Krakow met twice in the I Liga last season.
On 20 February 2026, Wisla Krakow drew 1-1 at home with Wieczysta Krakow, and on 2 October 2025, the reverse fixture also ended 1-1. These results suggest the teams are closely matched, though both have changed since then. The draw history may indicate a tight contest, but current form and league position differ.
- Wisla Krakow 1-1 Wieczysta Krakow on 20 February 2026.
- Wieczysta Krakow 1-1 Wisla Krakow on 2 October 2025.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wisla Krakow's perfect home record and Wieczysta Krakow's poor away form give the hosts a clear edge, though the H2H draws temper confidence.
- Wisla Krakow home record this season: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 4 goals scored, 2 conceded
- Wisla Krakow last 5 league matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 10 goals scored, 10 conceded
- Wieczysta Krakow away record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, 7 goals scored, 8 conceded
- H2H last 2 meetings: both ended 1-1 draws
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonWisla KrakowEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wisla Krakow are unbeaten at home and Wieczysta Krakow have lost two of three away, making a home win or draw highly likely.
- Wisla Krakow home record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses
- Wieczysta Krakow away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses
- H2H last 2 meetings: both draws
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWisla Krakow or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wisla Krakow have a slight first-half edge based on half-time leads and goal averages, but the margin is narrow.
- Wisla Krakow lead at half-time in 40% of matches
- Wieczysta Krakow trail at half-time in 33% of matches
- Wisla Krakow average 0.8 first-half goals vs Wieczysta's 0.7
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostWisla KrakowEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wisla Krakow's strong home form and tendency to lead at half-time support a home win in both halves, but the probability remains modest.
- Wisla Krakow home record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses
- Wisla Krakow lead at half-time in 40% of matches
- Wieczysta Krakow away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostWisla Krakow/Wisla KrakowEstimated chance30%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring tendencies, with combined averages above 3 goals per game, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Wisla Krakow average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this season
- Wieczysta Krakow average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match this season
- Combined average total goals in matches involving these teams: 3.1 (Wisla) and 3.7 (Wieczysta)
- Wisla Krakow home matches this season: 4 goals scored, 2 conceded in 2 games (3.0 total per game)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly score and concede, making both teams scoring a likely outcome.
- Wisla Krakow have scored in 4 of 5 league matches this season
- Wieczysta Krakow have scored in 3 of 4 league matches this season
- Wisla Krakow have conceded in 4 of 5 league matches
- Wieczysta Krakow have conceded in all 4 league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, with a combined average above one goal, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Wisla Krakow average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded
- Wieczysta Krakow average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.5 per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be higher scoring for both teams, with a combined average above 2 goals, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Wisla Krakow average 1.1 second-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded
- Wieczysta Krakow average 1.3 second-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded
- Combined second-half goal average: 2.4 per match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average over 10 corners, suggesting a high corner count, though limited data reduces confidence.
- Wisla Krakow average 5.4 corners per match, opponents average 5.8
- Wieczysta Krakow average 4.0 corners per match, opponents average 7.0
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams: 11.2 (Wisla) and 11.0 (Wieczysta)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving these teams tend to produce over 8.5 shots on target, though the sample size is small.
- Wisla Krakow average 5.4 shots on target per match, opponents average 6.4
- Wieczysta Krakow average 4.0 shots on target per match, opponents average 5.8
- Combined average shots on target: 11.8 (Wisla) and 9.8 (Wieczysta)
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 52% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 0W

D1-1Wisla KrakowvWieczysta KrakówFeb 20, 2026I L

D1-1Wieczysta KrakówvWisla KrakowOct 2, 2025I L

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Wisla Krakow	5	2	1	2	10-10	7	DLWLW
17	Wieczysta Krakow Relegation	4	1	0	3	8-10	3	LWLL

4pt gap between teamsWieczysta Krakow in relegation zone

Recent Form

Wisla Krakow

D2-2Pogon SzczecinAug 23EKS

L1-2Gornik ZabrzeAug 16EKS

W2-1Wisla PlockAug 7EKS

L3-4Piast GliwiceAug 1EKS

W2-1GKS KatowiceJul 26EKS

D2-2ArtisJul 18FRI

L0-1PodbeskidzieJul 12FRI

D0-0WrexhamJul 11FRI

W2-0KarvináJul 4FRI

W4-0Puszcza NiepołomiceJul 1FRI

L3-4NiecieczaJun 27FRI

W2-0Pogoń SiedlceMay 24I L

W1-0Polonia WarszawaMay 15I L

W2-0Chrobry GłogówMay 8I L

W2-1Stal RzeszówMay 3I L

Wieczysta Krakow

L2-3Cracovia KrakowAug 21EKS

W4-3Piast GliwiceAug 15EKS

L1-2Lech PoznanAug 1EKS

L1-2Radomiak RadomJul 24EKS

L0-1Maccabi NetanyaJul 18FRI

W2-0Ruch ChorzówJul 10FRI

D2-2Slavia PrahaJul 5FRI

L1-2ArtisJul 2FRI

L2-4Dynamo KyivJun 28FRI

W2-1Chrobry GłogówMay 31I L

W3-2Polonia WarszawaMay 28I L

D1-1Chrobry GłogówMay 24I L

W5-1Stal RzeszówMay 16I L

L0-1Miedz LegnicaMay 9I L

W4-1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiMay 2I L

Squad & Injuries

Wisla Krakow

31 available

Attackers4

Midfielders15

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Wieczysta Krakow

27 available

Attackers8

Midfielders6

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Wisla Krakow or Draw

Yes

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Wisla Krakow

Wieczysta Krakow

Squad & Injuries

Wisla Krakow

Wieczysta Krakow