1. SNLFull time

Predictions graded

Radomlje0Olimpija Ljubljana0

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions2–625%

Edges1–420%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 23:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Olimpija's three straight 2-1 H2H wins and Radomlje's poor home form point to an away win, but Olimpija's own away struggles (0 goals in 2 away games) and a new coach make the 1.75 price poor value.

Avoid the away win, double chance, and Over 0.5 first-half goals; BTTS and Over 2.5 are closer to fair but still lack a positive edge.

Context

Radomlje sit 10th in the 1. SNL with 4 points from 5 matches.
Their home record is 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2 goals scored and 7 conceded. This includes a 1-3 loss to Aluminij on 2026-08-16 and a 1-2 loss to Bravo on 2026-08-02. Facing Olimpija at home, this poor home form is a clear concern.
- Radomlje have lost all 3 home league matches this season.
- They scored 2 goals and conceded 7 in those home games.
- Recent home losses: 1-3 vs Aluminij (2026-08-16) and 1-2 vs Bravo (2026-08-02).
Olimpija are 7th in the 1. SNL with 7 points from 6 matches.
Their away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. They lost 0-1 at Celje on 2026-08-08 and 0-1 at Mura on 2026-07-25. This away scoring drought could be a factor against Radomlje.
- Olimpija have lost both away league matches this season.
- They failed to score in both away games.
- Away losses: 0-1 at Celje (2026-08-08) and 0-1 at Mura (2026-07-25).
The teams have met five times in the last two seasons.
In the most recent match on 2026-05-17, Olimpija won 2-1 at home. The last four meetings have all been won by the home team, including Radomlje's 3-2 home win on 2025-09-13. This suggests home advantage has been significant in this matchup.
- Olimpija won 2-1 at home on 2026-05-17.
- Radomlje won 3-2 at home on 2025-09-13.
- The last four meetings were all won by the home team.
Radomlje midfielder A. Pogačar has started all five recent fixtures with available lineups.
His suspension removes the team's captain from selection, forcing a change in midfield organisation. The replacement is not specified, so the effect on Radomlje's shape remains uncertain.
- NZS lists Andrej Pogačar under Radomlje's match bans for this fixture.
- NZS reported that Pogačar was sent off in the 66th minute against Aluminij for deliberately stopping a counterattack.
- A. Pogačar started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 · Europe/BucharestNZS — Pred tekmo: Radomlje - Olimpijawww.nzs.si · 28 Aug 2026NZS — Hat-trick Osujija za zmago Kidričanovwww.nzs.si · 16 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.75fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 57.1%

0.0ppshort

Olimpija's H2H dominance and Radomlje's home struggles give them an edge, but their own away record tempers confidence.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Olimpija Ljubljana

1.20fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Combining Olimpija's H2H superiority with Radomlje's home struggles makes a draw or away win likely, but the odds are too short.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.70fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerability and recent H2H meetings consistently saw both teams score.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.78fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 56.2%

0.0ppshort

Radomlje's leaky home defense and consistent 2-1 scorelines in recent H2H suggest a decent chance of over 2.5 goals.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 0.5

1.29fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to concede in the first half, and recent H2H matches have seen first-half goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Olimpija's strong H2H dominance and Radomlje's poor home form give Olimpija the edge, but their own away struggles temper confidence.
- Olimpija have won the last three league meetings, each by one goal (2-1, 2-1, 2-1).
- Radomlje have lost all three home league matches this season, conceding 7 goals.
- Olimpija's away record this season is 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, with 0 goals scored and 2 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOlimpija LjubljanaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Olimpija's H2H superiority with Radomlje's home struggles makes a draw or away win likely.
- Radomlje have lost all three home league matches this season.
- Olimpija have won the last three H2H meetings.
- Olimpija's away form is poor (0 wins, 2 losses), but Radomlje's home form is worse.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Olimpija LjubljanaEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half profiles, making a level half-time score plausible.
- Radomlje have led at half-time in 33% of matches and trailed in 53%.
- Olimpija have led at half-time in 33% of matches and trailed in 40%.
- In the last three H2H meetings, half-time results were: Radomlje led once, Olimpija led once, and one was level.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by an Olimpija win is a plausible scenario given their H2H edge and Radomlje's second-half defensive issues.
- Olimpija have won the last three H2H meetings, but often after a competitive first half.
- Radomlje have trailed at half-time in 53% of matches.
- Olimpija's away form is weak, but they may edge a tight match.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Olimpija LjubljanaEstimated chance20%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense while being capable of scoring, and recent H2H matches consistently saw both teams score.
- Radomlje have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Olimpija have conceded in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- The last three H2H meetings all ended 2-1, with both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's leaky home defense and the consistent 2-1 scorelines in recent H2H suggest a decent chance of over 2.5 goals.
- Radomlje's home league matches have averaged 3.0 total goals (2 scored, 7 conceded in 3 games).
- Olimpija's away league matches have averaged 1.0 total goals (0 scored, 2 conceded in 2 games).
- The last three H2H meetings all produced exactly 3 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede in the first half, and recent H2H matches have seen first-half goals.
- Radomlje average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.9 first-half goals conceded per match.
- Olimpija average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.7 first-half goals conceded per match.
- In the last three H2H meetings, at least one first-half goal was scored in each.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is less predictable, but Radomlje's defensive lapses at home could lead to multiple second-half goals.
- Radomlje's home matches have seen an average of 2.0 second-half goals (based on total goals minus first-half goals).
- Olimpija's away matches have seen an average of 0.5 second-half goals.
- The last three H2H meetings had second-half goals totaling 2, 2, and 1.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without corner data, this is a speculative pick based on typical match flow, but confidence is low.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Radomlje's home matches have seen an average of 0 corners (data missing).
- Olimpija's away matches have seen an average of 0 corners (data missing).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without card data, this is a speculative pick based on typical match intensity, but confidence is low.
- Card data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Radomlje's home matches have seen an average of 0 yellow cards (data missing).
- Olimpija's away matches have seen an average of 0 yellow cards (data missing).
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 57% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L2-1Olimpija LjubljanavRadomljeMay 17, 20261.

L1-2RadomljevOlimpija LjubljanaMar 14, 20261.

L2-1Olimpija LjubljanavRadomljeNov 29, 20251.

W3-2RadomljevOlimpija LjubljanaSep 13, 20251.

L5-0Olimpija LjubljanavRadomljeMay 17, 20251.

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

1. SNL 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Radomlje Relegation	5	1	1	3	7-10	4	LWLDL
7	Olimpija Ljubljana	6	2	1	3	3-5	7	WDLWL

3pt gap between teamsRadomlje in relegation zone

Recent Form

Radomlje

L0-2Brinje-GrosupljeJul 181.

L0-1NK VarazdinJul 10FRI

L0-2HNK RijekaJul 3FRI

L0-3Dinamo ZagrebJun 26FRI

W3-2MuraMay 221.

L1-2Olimpija LjubljanaMay 171.

L1-2BravoMay 91.

W2-1MariborMay 31.

W3-2PrimorjeApr 261.

L0-1Brinje-GrosupljeApr 22CUP

L0-3KoperApr 181.

Olimpija Ljubljana

L0-2BravoJul 181.

L0-1LNZ CherkasyJul 11FRI

L1-3RudesJul 5FRI

D1-1CFR 1907 ClujJul 4FRI

L0-3CukarickiJun 28FRI

W4-0Vllaznia ShkodërJun 23FRI

L1-2BravoMay 231.

W2-1RadomljeMay 171.

W3-0PrimorjeMay 21.

L2-3KoperApr 251.

Squad & Injuries

Radomlje

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Olimpija Ljubljana

31 available

Attackers10

Midfielders6

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3

Radomlje0Olimpija Ljubljana0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Olimpija Ljubljana

Draw or Olimpija Ljubljana

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 1.75

@ 1.20

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Radomlje

Olimpija Ljubljana

Squad & Injuries

Radomlje

Olimpija Ljubljana