USL ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Lexington's strong home form and Colorado Springs' poor away record make the hosts likely to avoid defeat, but the market has priced this in.
The only marginal value is on the double chance (Lexington or Draw) at 1.30, while the first-half Over 0.5 goals market should be avoided due to heavy vig.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 76.9% · BetBugs 78%
Lexington are unbeaten in 73% of home matches and Colorado Springs have only a 20% away win rate, making a home win or draw highly likely.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Lexington SCBetBugs 48% · Market 51.3%
Lexington's home record is 7W-1D-3L while Colorado Springs are 2W-2D-6L away, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 58% · Market 60.6%
H2H shows both teams scored in all three meetings, and Lexington's home matches average 2.82 total goals with Colorado Springs conceding 1.8 per away game.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 31% vs our estimate 22% leaves no value; the away side's poor away record makes this a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lexington SC Play Offs: 1/8-finals | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30-23 | 31 |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32-32 | 28 |