Heart of Midlothian22 – 1St Johnstone1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Hearts' dominant H2H streak and strong home form, combined with St Johnstone's poor away start, make a home win highly likely.

• Hearts have won the last 7 H2H meetings, including 5 straight Premiership wins.
• Hearts home record this season: 1 win, 4 goals scored, 0 conceded.
• St Johnstone away record this season: 1 loss, 0 goals scored, 1 conceded.
• Hearts averaged 1.7 goals per match over last 15; St Johnstone conceded 0.7 per match but faced weaker opposition.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHeart of MidlothianEstimated chance62%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Given Hearts' historical dominance and home advantage, the probability of them avoiding defeat is very high.

• Hearts have not lost to St Johnstone in the last 7 meetings.
• Hearts are unbeaten at home this season (1 win).
• St Johnstone have lost their only away match this season.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonHeart of Midlothian or DrawEstimated chance88%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hearts have a slight edge in first-half performance, but St Johnstone's resilience makes this a low-confidence pick.

• Hearts led at half-time in 40% of their last 15 matches.
• St Johnstone trailed at half-time in only 13% of their last 15 matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Hearts led at half-time in 2 of them.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonHeart of MidlothianEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hearts are likely to win, but their tendency to not always lead at half-time reduces the probability of a HT/FT double.

• Hearts led at half-time in 40% of matches and won 60% overall.
• St Johnstone trailed at half-time in only 13% but lost 40% overall.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, Hearts won 4, but only led at half-time in 2.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonHeart of Midlothian/Heart of MidlothianEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The recent H2H trend of 2-1 scorelines and both teams' scoring records suggest a decent chance of over 2.5 goals.

• Hearts' last 5 H2H meetings all had 3 or more goals (2-1 scorelines).
• Hearts averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match over last 15.
• St Johnstone averaged 2.3 goals scored per match over last 15, though against weaker opposition.
• Hearts' home match this season had 4 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H pattern and both teams' recent scoring form indicate a reasonable chance that both teams find the net.

• In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in 4 of them.
• Hearts conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
• St Johnstone scored in 4 of their last 5 matches (excluding friendlies).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half, and the H2H history supports early goals.

• Hearts averaged 0.8 first-half goals per match over last 15.
• St Johnstone averaged 1.2 first-half goals per match over last 15.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, at least one first-half goal was scored in 4 of them.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined corner averages suggest a borderline total, making over 9.5 a low-confidence but plausible outcome.

• Hearts averaged 6.2 corners per match over last 15.
• St Johnstone averaged 3.3 corners per match over last 15.
• Combined average of 9.5 corners per match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined card averages are slightly below the line, but the competitive nature of the fixture could push it over.

• Hearts averaged 1.9 yellow cards per match over last 15.
• St Johnstone averaged 1.3 yellow cards per match over last 15.
• Combined average of 3.2 yellow cards per match.