League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Blackpool4Peterborough United0

HT 2–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 11:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 42%–58%ShotsShots 17–15On targetOn target 11–6CornersCorners 3–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 04:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Blackpool are the likely winners based on head-to-head and home form, but the market has already priced that in—no value on the home win or double chance.

The only positive edge is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15, where our 55% estimate beats the 46.5% implied probability.

Context

Blackpool and Peterborough have met five times since February 2024, with Blackpool winning two and Peterborough winning two.
In the most recent match on 11 April 2026, Blackpool won 3-1 at home. That result shows Blackpool can score multiple goals against Peterborough, but the overall head-to-head record is balanced, so it does not guarantee a repeat.
- Blackpool beat Peterborough 3-1 at home on 11 April 2026.
- The teams have split their last four league meetings, with two wins each.
Blackpool defender Z. Ashworth was sent off in the 52nd minute of Tuesday's 1-4 Carabao Cup loss to Lincoln City.
His suspension for this match removes a defender from Blackpool's options and forces a change in the defensive unit. The team-news preview confirms he will miss the Peterborough game, though the specific replacement is not detailed.
- Sky Sports recorded Z. Ashworth's 52nd-minute dismissal in Blackpool's 1-4 Carabao Cup loss to Lincoln City on 25 August.
- A 27 August team-news preview reported that Ashworth would miss Peterborough through suspension.
- Blackpool Gazette's matchday squad-news headline reported seven players out and one further doubt.
ReportedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 · Europe/BucharestSky Sports — Blackpool 1-4 Lincoln Citywww.skysports.com · 25 Aug 2026Sports Mole — Blackpool vs Peterborough team newswww.sportsmole.co.uk · 27 Aug 2026
Peterborough have played one away match in League One this season.
They lost 2-0 at Bradford on 15 August 2026. That is a small sample, but it shows they have not yet earned points away from home, while Blackpool have drawn their only home league game.
- Peterborough lost 2-0 at Bradford on 15 August 2026.
- Blackpool drew 1-1 at home against Wycombe on 15 August 2026.
Blackpool sit 6th in League One with four points, while Peterborough are 13th with three points.
Blackpool have won one and drawn one in the league, including a 2-1 away win at Stockport County on 22 August 2026. Peterborough have won one and lost one, with their win coming at home against Mansfield Town. The small sample makes this early form useful but not decisive.
- Blackpool beat Stockport County 2-1 away on 22 August 2026.
- Peterborough beat Mansfield Town 2-1 at home on 22 August 2026.
- Blackpool drew 1-1 with Wycombe at home on 15 August 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Blackpool

1.73fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 57.8%

0.0ppshort

Blackpool are unbeaten in their last three league meetings vs Peterborough and have won 4 of their last 5 home league matches, while Peterborough lost their only away league game this season.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Blackpool or Draw

1.22fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Blackpool's strong home form and H2H dominance make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance of home win or draw.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.53fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring league games recently, and the last H2H at this venue produced 4 goals.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half recently, making at least one first-half goal likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's strong recent H2H record and solid home form give them the edge, while Peterborough's away struggles reinforce the home win probability.
- Blackpool are unbeaten in their last three league meetings vs Peterborough (2W, 1D), including a 3-1 home win on 11 Apr 2026.
- Blackpool have won 4 of their last 5 league matches at home (W4 D1 L0).
- Peterborough have lost their only away league match this season 0-2 at Bradford.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBlackpoolEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's strong home form and H2H dominance make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance of home win or draw.
- Blackpool are unbeaten in their last 3 league H2H meetings (2W, 1D).
- Blackpool have not lost at home in their last 5 league matches (W4 D1).
- Peterborough have lost their only away league match this season.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBlackpool or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blackpool have shown a slight tendency to lead at the break at home, but the low sample size makes this a low-confidence pick.
- Blackpool led at half-time in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Peterborough trailed at half-time in 1 of their last 5 league matches.
- Blackpool led at half-time in the last H2H home match (2-0).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonBlackpoolEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's ability to start strong at home and Peterborough's away weakness support a home HT/FT double, though the probability remains modest.
- Blackpool led at half-time and won in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Peterborough have not won away this season.
- Blackpool won the last H2H home match after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonBlackpool/BlackpoolEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring league games recently, and the last H2H at this venue produced 4 goals.
- Blackpool's last 5 league matches averaged 2.6 total goals.
- Peterborough's last 5 league matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- The last H2H meeting at Blackpool ended 3-1 (4 goals).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability in recent league games, and the H2H history suggests goals at both ends.
- Blackpool have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Peterborough have scored in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 H2H league meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half recently, making at least one first-half goal likely.
- Blackpool scored in the first half in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Peterborough scored in the first half in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- The last H2H at Blackpool had 2 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be more open in the second half, and recent matches have seen multiple goals after the break.
- Blackpool's last 5 league matches averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
- Peterborough's last 5 league matches averaged 1.4 second-half goals.
- The last H2H at Blackpool had 2 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average points to a total near the 9.5 line.
- Blackpool average 5.1 corners per match overall.
- Peterborough average 5.2 corners per match overall.
- Combined average suggests around 10.3 corners per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average of yellow cards is exactly at the 3.5 line, making this a coin-flip prediction.
- Blackpool average 2.1 yellow cards per match.
- Peterborough average 1.4 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average is 3.5 yellow cards per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 57.8% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W3-1BlackpoolvPeterboroughApr 11, 2026LEA

W1-2PeterboroughvBlackpoolOct 25, 2025LEA

D0-0BlackpoolvPeterboroughMar 4, 2025LEA

L5-1PeterboroughvBlackpoolOct 22, 2024LEA

L0-3BlackpoolvPeterboroughFeb 20, 2024EFL

Peterborough United: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Blackpool Promotion - League One (Play Offs)	2	1	1	0	3-2	4	WD
13	Peterborough United	2	1	0	1	2-3	3	WL

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Blackpool

L1-4LincolnAug 25LEA

W2-1Stockport CountyAug 22LEA

D1-1WycombeAug 15LEA

W3-1GrimsbyAug 8LEA

L0-1Port ValeAug 1FRI

L0-2BarrowJul 25FRI

L0-2TranmereJul 18FRI

W3-2AFC FyldeJul 11FRI

W1-0ReadingMay 2LEA

W1-0Leyton OrientApr 25LEA

W1-0WycombeApr 18LEA

W3-1PeterboroughApr 11LEA

L0-1StevenageApr 6LEA

W1-0Exeter CityApr 3LEA

W1-0Burton AlbionMar 28LEA

Peterborough United

W5-1WatfordAug 25LEA

W2-1Mansfield TownAug 22LEA

L0-2BradfordAug 15LEA

W1-0Bristol RoversAug 8LEA

L0-2West BromAug 1FRI

W2-1YorkJul 28FRI

L0-1Boston UnitedJul 25FRI

W1-0Peterborough SportsJul 22FRI

W3-2ColchesterJul 21FRI

D0-0NEOMJul 17FRI

L1-3DoncasterMay 2LEA

D0-0Mansfield TownApr 28LEA

L1-3Stockport CountyApr 25LEA

D1-1Burton AlbionApr 19LEA

L1-3Port ValeApr 16LEA

Squad & Injuries

Blackpool

30 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Peterborough United

28 available

Attackers4

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

Blackpool

Blackpool or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Blackpool

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Blackpool

Peterborough United

Squad & Injuries

Blackpool

Peterborough United