Peterborough United vs Burton Albion: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H dominance and Burton's weak away record give Peterborough an edge, but their dreadful recent form (0 wins in 5) significantly caps confidence in a home win.
- Peterborough H2H: 3W-1D-1L in last 5 meetings (2023-2025)
- Peterborough home: 8W-4D-8L, 1.85 GF/game this season (20 games)
- Burton away: 4W-8D-9L, 0.95 GF/game this season (21 games)
- Peterborough in awful form: 0W-2D-3L in last 5 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPeterborough UnitedEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Burton's extremely low away win rate (19%) and strong H2H trend favoring Peterborough make a Burton outright win unlikely, supporting a home/draw double chance.
- Peterborough unbeaten in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings
- Burton away wins: only 4 in 21 League One away games this season
- Burton away draws: 8 in 21 away matches — very draw-prone on the road
- Combined relegation anxiety context — both on 51 points, 4 above drop zone
BetBugs · Double ChancewonPeterborough or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Burton's extremely low first-half activity on both ends of the pitch makes a half-time draw the most likely outcome, supported by the H2H pattern of tight first halves.
- Burton drawing at HT in 60% of recent matches (neither leading nor trailing in majority)
- Burton first-half goals scored: 0.3; conceded: 0.3 (last 10)
- Peterborough trailing at HT 50% of last 10 but that reflects poor form vs stronger sides
- 4 of 5 H2H meetings were level or had only 1 goal in the first half
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance58%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Burton's ultra-low scoring output and defensive approach combined with H2H low-scoring trends create a structural lean toward under 2.5 goals.
- Burton recent 10: avg 1.8 total goals per game (0.8 GF, 1.0 GA)
- 4 of last 5 H2H meetings finished under 3.5 goals; 3 of 5 under 2.5
- Burton away: 0.95 GF, 1.38 GA = 2.33 total per game this season
- Burton's defensive style: 48.4% possession, only 3.1 SOT per game (last 10)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern (80% under 3.5), Burton's miserly output, and the survivalist stakes for both sides strongly favor under 3.5 goals.
- 4 of 5 H2H meetings finished under 3.5 goals (2023-2025)
- Burton score just 0.8 goals/game in last 10; only 0.95 GF away this season
- Combined expected total ~2.6 goals from recent averages
- Both teams on 51 points with relegation pressure — conservative approach likely
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Burton's very low away scoring output and conversion rate make it a coin flip whether they'll find the net, with H2H showing clean sheets in 3 of 5 meetings.
- Burton scored 0 in 2 of last 5 away matches; 0.95 GF/game away this season
- 3 of last 5 H2H had at least one team blanked (4-0, 0-1, 0-1)
- Burton average only 3.1 shots on target in last 10 matches
- Peterborough home GA: 1.30/game — concede regularly but Burton's output is very low
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance50%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Burton's extremely low first-half scoring (0.3/game) and conceding (0.3/game) coupled with Peterborough's modest FH output strongly points to a quiet first half.
- Burton first-half goals avg: 0.3 per game (last 10); first-half conceded: 0.3
- Peterborough first-half goals avg: 0.6 per game (last 10); first-half conceded: 0.8
- Burton trailing at HT only 20% of the time; drawing at HT dominant pattern
- 4 of 5 H2H had 0 or 1 first-half goals combined
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Burton's chronically low attacking output and limited shot volume create a realistic chance they fail to score, though Peterborough's defensive frailty (1.30 GA/home) tempers confidence.
- Burton average 0.8 goals/game (last 10), dropping to 0.95 GF away this season
- Burton scored 0 in 2 of last 5 H2H meetings
- Burton managed only 3.1 SOT/game in last 10 matches
- Burton scored 0 in 2 of their last 5 League One matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostBurton Albion under 0.5Estimated chance42%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Peterborough's modest corner generation and Burton's expected conservative away setup suggest total corners will hover around 9-10, favoring under 10.5.
- Peterborough average 4.2 corners/game (last 10)
- Burton average 5.8 corners/game (last 10) but lower away expectation
- Combined average ~10.0 corners per game from recent data
- Low-tempo, defensive away approach from Burton likely suppresses corner count
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 10.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined foul count (~19 per game) and yellow card averages (~3.2 combined) in a match with survival implications make over 2.5 cards likely.
- Peterborough average 1.7 yellows/game (last 10); Burton average 1.5 yellows/game
- Combined average: 3.2 yellows per game
- Burton commit 10.0 fouls/game; Peterborough 8.8 fouls/game (last 10)
- Relegation-zone stakes often produce more physical, niggly encounters
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Peterborough United	42	15	6	21	61-61	51	LLDLD
18	Burton Albion	43	13	12	18	46-56	51	WDDLW

Peterborough United1Burton Albion1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

Under 9.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Peterborough United

Burton Albion

Squad & Injuries

Peterborough United

Burton Albion