Guabira Montero
Market 33.3% · BetBugs 42%
Guabira's strong recent form (DWWWD) and Independiente's mediocre home record (3W 2D 3L) give the away side a slight edge, and the odds imply only 33%.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Draw or Guabira Montero (double chance) at 1.75 for a +11 point edge, and consider the away win at 3.00.
Avoid Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes as the market is overpricing both.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Guabira MonteroMarket 33.3% · BetBugs 42%
Guabira's strong recent form (DWWWD) and Independiente's mediocre home record (3W 2D 3L) give the away side a slight edge, and the odds imply only 33%.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 68%
Independiente's low home win rate (37.5%) and the high draw frequency in recent H2H meetings support the double chance for the away side or a draw.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 55%
The second half often sees more goals as both teams push for results, and the combined second-half scoring rates support over 1.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 42% for the home win; the price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22-24 | 22 |
| 6 | Guabira Montero | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27-28 | 25 |

