Over 2.5
Market 0.6% · BetBugs 60%
Guabirá home games average 3.5 total goals and The Strongest away games average 2.29, but odds imply 61.7% vs our 60% estimate, leaving no value.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Guabirá's home H2H dominance and The Strongest's unbeaten away record make this a tight contest, but the market overprices the home double chance.
The best value is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.50, with a +15-point edge over our 55% estimate.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 0.6% · BetBugs 60%
Guabirá home games average 3.5 total goals and The Strongest away games average 2.29, but odds imply 61.7% vs our 60% estimate, leaving no value.
Market 0.6% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams have decent scoring records, but odds imply 63.7% vs our 58% estimate, so the market is overpricing BTTS Yes.
Market 0.8% · BetBugs 65%
First-half goal frequency is decent, but odds imply 77.5% vs our 65% estimate, making Over 0.5 heavily overpriced.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34% vs our 45% estimate suggests value, but the edge is below the 5-point threshold for MEDIUM confidence and the market is efficient.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guabira Montero | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23-26 | 21 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21-14 | 27 |

