AEK Athens vs Levski Sofia: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AEK's home advantage and superior chance creation in the first leg support a home win, though Levski's defensive discipline keeps confidence medium.
- AEK Athens home form: 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 7 home matches across all competitions.
- AEK Athens averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match over last 15 matches.
- Levski Sofia away form: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in last 4 away matches, but against weaker opposition.
- First leg ended 0-0, but AEK created clearer chances (Jovic hit bar, Moukoudi close-range chance).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAEK AthensEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AEK's strong home record and Levski's underdog status make AEK or draw highly likely.
- AEK Athens unbeaten in 6 of last 7 home matches.
- Levski Sofia have not won away against a team of AEK's quality in recent competitive matches.
- First leg was 0-0, showing Levski can defend but not dominate.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAEK Athens or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The high stakes and Levski's defensive setup suggest a cautious first half, likely ending level.
- AEK Athens led at half-time in only 40% of matches.
- Levski Sofia led at half-time in 60% of matches, but against weaker teams.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AEK may need a second-half goal to break down Levski, making a draw at half-time and AEK win at full-time a plausible scenario.
- AEK Athens have come from behind or drawn at half-time to win in 2 of last 5 home matches.
- Levski Sofia have not lost after leading at half-time in recent matches.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time and full-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/AEK AthensEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Levski's defensive approach and the 0-0 first leg suggest a low-scoring match, with AEK's need to win balanced by Levski's compactness.
- First leg ended 0-0.
- AEK Athens averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match overall, but Levski conceded only 0.4 goals per match on average.
- Levski Sofia's coach emphasized a near-perfect, conservative performance.
- AEK's last 5 matches: 3 under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong defensive records, and Levski's conservative approach reduces the chance of both scoring.
- Levski Sofia conceded only 0.4 goals per match on average in last 15 matches.
- AEK Athens kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches.
- First leg ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AEK's home defensive solidity and Levski's limited attacking output support a home clean sheet.
- AEK Athens kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches.
- Levski Sofia scored only 0.4 goals per match on average away from home in recent competitive matches.
- First leg: Levski failed to score at home.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLevski Sofia not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, especially in high-stakes matches, making a low-scoring first half likely.
- AEK Athens averaged 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match.
- Levski Sofia averaged 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.1 conceded per match, but against weaker opposition.
- First leg was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AEK's need to score and their tendency to push late should produce at least one second-half goal.
- AEK Athens scored in the second half in 4 of last 5 home matches.
- Levski Sofia conceded in the second half in 2 of last 4 away matches.
- AEK need a goal to avoid extra time, increasing second-half urgency.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AEK's attacking pressure at home could lead to more corners, but Levski's defensive style may limit total corners.
- AEK Athens averaged 6 corners per match, Levski Sofia averaged 4 corners per match.
- AEK's home matches averaged 8.5 corners total in recent games.
- First leg had only 3 corners total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The intensity of a decisive Champions League qualifier could lead to more cards, though both teams have moderate discipline records.
- AEK Athens averaged 2.9 yellow cards per match, Levski Sofia averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match.
- High-stakes match likely to increase fouls and cards.
- First leg had no cards recorded.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

AEK Athens4Levski Sofia0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

AEK Athens

AEK Athens or Draw

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 5.50

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

AEK Athens

Levski Sofia

Squad & Injuries

AEK Athens

Levski Sofia