Draw or Juventud Unida San Miguel
Market 64.5% · BetBugs 75%
Juventud Unida San Miguel are unbeaten in 67% of away matches while Leandro Niceforo Alem have taken just 1 point from their last 5, making the away side or draw highly probable.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is on Double Chance: Draw or Juventud Unida San Miguel at 1.55, with a +10.5 point edge (75% model vs 64.5% implied).
Avoid the match winner and first-half markets, which are fairly priced or overpriced. The historical draw trend supports the double chance, but goals markets offer no clear edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 64.5% · BetBugs 75%
Juventud Unida San Miguel are unbeaten in 67% of away matches while Leandro Niceforo Alem have taken just 1 point from their last 5, making the away side or draw highly probable.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability in their respective home/away splits, and the recent head-to-head record shows both teams scoring in every meeting.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 67.6%
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leandro Niceforo Alem | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25-40 | 27 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26-23 | 32 |

