Alajuelense
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 70%
Alajuelense are W3-D1-L0 in their last 4 league matches and have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, while San Carlos are W1-D0-L3 in their last 4 league games.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Alajuelense are strong favourites and should win, but the best betting value is 'Both Teams to Score: No' at 1.91 (edge +7.6pts).
Avoid Over 2.5 goals and first-half Over 0.5, as they are efficiently priced or overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
AlajuelenseMarket 69.9% · BetBugs 70%
Alajuelense are W3-D1-L0 in their last 4 league matches and have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, while San Carlos are W1-D0-L3 in their last 4 league games.
AlajuelenseMarket 54.6% · BetBugs 55%
Alajuelense average 0.8 first-half goals and lead at the break in 40% of matches, while San Carlos trail at half-time in 33% of matches.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60%
San Carlos' poor scoring record, especially against Alajuelense, makes it likely that at least one team fails to score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 15% leaves no cushion vs our 10% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AlajuelenseSemifinal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8-3 | 10 |
| 8 | AD San Carlos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 3 |

