Super LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Young Boys Bern4FC Vaduz2

HT 2–2Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges5–271%

PossPossession 41%–59%ShotsShots 20–16On targetOn target 9–6CornersCorners 6–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 17:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Young Boys are strong favourites and likely to win, but the odds are too short to offer value.

The only positive edge is on first-half goals over 1.5 at 1.75, though it's marginal. Historical head-to-head suggests a low-scoring game, conflicting with Young Boys' current attacking form.

Context

Young Boys average 3.1 goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- They scored 6 away at FC Thun on 1 August.
- Vaduz have conceded 8 goals in 3 league matches this season.
Last four Super League meetings: 2-0, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0.
- Vaduz scored 0, 1, 0 and 0 in those games.
- All four matches finished under 2.5 goals.
Vaduz have lost 3 of 3 in the Super League this season.
- They are bottom of the table with 0 points.
- Their last league match was a 2-3 home loss to FC Sion.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Young Boys Bern

1.29fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

Young Boys' superior form and home advantage justify favouritism, but the odds are shorter than our model suggests, leaving no value.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Young Boys Bern or Draw

1.08fair 1.09

BetBugs 92% · Market 92.6%

0.0ppshort

The market has priced this almost exactly at our estimate, offering no edge despite the high confidence.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Young Boys' high-scoring attack and Vaduz's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals, but the odds are too short to justify a bet.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.50fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Vaduz have shown they can score, but the head-to-head record shows they often struggle against Young Boys, and the odds are too short.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's superior form, squad quality, and home advantage make them strong favorites against a struggling FC Vaduz side.
- Young Boys Bern are 2nd with 7 points from 3 games (W2 D1), scoring 12 goals and conceding 4.
- FC Vaduz are bottom with 0 points from 3 games (L3), scoring 5 and conceding 8.
- Young Boys Bern have won 2 of their last 3 league matches, including a 6-0 away win at FC Thun.
- FC Vaduz have lost all 3 league matches this season, including a 2-3 home loss to FC Sion.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonYoung Boys BernEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Young Boys Bern's strong home form and FC Vaduz's poor away record, the home side is highly unlikely to lose.
- Young Boys Bern are unbeaten in their last 4 league meetings with FC Vaduz (W2 D2).
- FC Vaduz have lost all 3 league matches this season.
- Young Boys Bern have not lost at home in their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonYoung Boys Bern or DrawEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's tendency to start strongly, especially at home, gives them an edge to lead at the break.
- Young Boys Bern have led at halftime in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz have trailed at halftime in 27% of their last 15 matches.
- Young Boys Bern scored 5 first-half goals in their last home match against Étoile Carouge.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostYoung Boys BernEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern are likely to control the match from the start and secure a comfortable victory.
- Young Boys Bern have led at halftime in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- Young Boys Bern have won 2 of their last 3 league matches.
- FC Vaduz have lost all 3 league matches this season.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostYoung Boys Bern / Young Boys BernEstimated chance50%

Goals3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's high-scoring attack and FC Vaduz's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match with at least three goals.
- Young Boys Bern average 3.1 goals scored per match in their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match in their last 15 matches.
- Young Boys Bern's last 5 home matches have seen 4, 4, 3, 3, and 1 goals (average 3.0).
- FC Vaduz's last 5 away matches have seen 2, 3, 2, 2, and 1 goals (average 2.0).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FC Vaduz have shown they can score despite their poor results, and Young Boys Bern's defense has been leaky at times.
- FC Vaduz have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- Young Boys Bern have conceded in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- FC Vaduz average 1.9 goals per match in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's strong first-half scoring record and FC Vaduz's tendency to concede early suggest a lively opening period.
- Young Boys Bern average 1.4 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz average 0.9 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- Young Boys Bern have led at halftime in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz have trailed at halftime in 27% of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the match could see a total above 9.5 if the game is open.
- Young Boys Bern average 4.9 corners per match in their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz average 4.8 corners per match in their last 15 matches.
- Combined average corners per match for both teams is 9.7.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Young Boys Bern's attacking volume and FC Vaduz's defensive struggles could lead to a high number of shots on target.
- Young Boys Bern average 7.5 shots on target per match in their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz average 5.2 shots on target per match in their last 15 matches.
- Combined average shots on target per match is 12.7.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The match could see a moderate number of cards, but the total may exceed 4.5 if the game becomes physical.
- Young Boys Bern average 2.1 yellow cards per match in their last 15 matches.
- FC Vaduz average 2.0 yellow cards per match in their last 15 matches.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 4.1.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 77.5% leaves no cushion vs our 72% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

L3-2BSC Young BoysvFC VaduzJan 13, 2024FRI

D0-0BSC Young BoysvFC VaduzJan 14, 2023FRI

W0-2FC VaduzvBSC Young BoysMay 11, 2021SUP

D1-1BSC Young BoysvFC VaduzMar 6, 2021SUP

D0-0FC VaduzvBSC Young BoysJan 24, 2021SUP

Young Boys Bern: 3 clean sheetsFC Vaduz: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Super League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Young Boys Bern Play-offs	3	2	1	0	12-4	7	DWW
12	FC Vaduz Relegation Play-offs	3	0	0	3	5-8	0	LLL

7pt gap between teamsFC Vaduz in relegation zone

Recent Form

Young Boys Bern

W4-0LiestalAug 15SCH

D2-2LausanneAug 8SUP

W6-0FC ThunAug 1SUP

W4-2FC SionJul 26SUP

W5-0Étoile CarougeJul 18FRI

W5-3PlzenJul 10FRI

W2-0FC KharkivJul 5FRI

D0-0Austria LustenauJul 1FRI

D3-3FC SionMay 17SUP

W8-3FC ThunMay 14SUP

W3-0FC Basel 1893May 10SUP

L0-1FC LuganoMay 3SUP

L1-2FC ST. GallenApr 26SUP

D1-1Servette FCApr 12SUP

D3-3FC Basel 1893Apr 4SUP

FC Vaduz

D2-2Inter TurkuAug 13UEF

L2-3FC SionAug 9SUP

L1-2Inter TurkuAug 6UEF

L2-3FC ST. GallenAug 2SUP

W2-0Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 30UEF

L1-2FC LuganoJul 26SUP

W4-0Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 23UEF

W2-1FC LuganoJul 17FRI

L0-1SCR AltachJul 10FRI

W1-0Austria LustenauJul 4FRI

W2-1SC KriensJun 27FRI

W3-1FC WIL 1900May 15CHA

L1-2FC AarauMay 11CHA

W2-1Étoile CarougeMay 8CHA

W4-3Eschen / MaurenMay 5CUP

Squad & Injuries

Young Boys Bern

28 available

Attackers3

Midfielders10

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3

FC Vaduz

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

Young Boys Bern

Young Boys Bern or Draw

Young Boys Bern

Young Boys Bern at half-time / Young Boys Bern at full-time

Over 2.5

Yes

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 3 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Young Boys Bern

Young Boys Bern or Draw

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Young Boys Bern

FC Vaduz

Squad & Injuries

Young Boys Bern

FC Vaduz