EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The market is overpricing GKS Katowice's chances and the likelihood of goals.
Avoid the home win (1.85) and over 2.5 goals (1.57), as our model sees no value in either. Wisla Plock's away win at Raków and recent low-scoring trends suggest a tighter, lower-scoring match than the odds imply.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
GKS KatowiceBetBugs 40% · Market 54%
The market implies a 54% chance for a home win, but our model only gives 40%, suggesting the favourite is overpriced and there is no value on this side.
BetBugs 65% · Market 80%
The market gives an 80% implied probability for GKS Katowice or Draw, but our model only sees 65%, indicating the safety net is overpriced.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
Season averages suggest high totals, but recent matches for both sides have been tighter; the odds imply a 63.7% chance, well above our 55% estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 54% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and offers negative expected value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4-4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 4 |