EkstraklasaFull time

Predictions graded

Slask Wroclaw3Widzew Lodz3

HT 0–2Sat 22 Aug 2026, 18:15 Predictions graded

Predictions3–925%

Edges1–517%

PossPossession 69%–31%ShotsShots 17–13On targetOn target 6–7CornersCorners 5–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 16:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Śląsk Wrocław's strong H2H record (unbeaten in last five vs Widzew) and solid home defense make them slight favourites, but the best value lies in Double Chance Śląsk or Draw at 1.57.

Expect a low-scoring game, with Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No both likely, though the edges are small.

Context

Last five H2H: Śląsk 4W, 1D, including a 3-0 home win in Feb 2025.
- Śląsk kept clean sheets in three of those five matches.
- The most recent meeting at Widzew ended 0-0 in Aug 2024.
Widzew away record: 1W, 1D, 0L, with 0 goals conceded.
- They beat Jagiellonia 2-0 away and drew 0-0 at Wisła Płock.
- Widzew average only 0.9 goals conceded overall in last 15 matches.
Śląsk home record: 1W, 1D, 0L, with 1 goal conceded in 2 matches.
- They drew 0-0 with Cracovia and beat Raków 2-1 at home.
- Śląsk average 0.9 goals conceded overall in last 15 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slask's strong recent H2H dominance and solid home form give them a slight edge, but Widzew's unbeaten away start keeps confidence medium.
- Slask Wroclaw unbeaten in last 5 H2H vs Widzew Lodz (4W, 1D), including 3-0 home win in Feb 2025.
- Slask home record this season: 1W, 1D, 0L (2 goals for, 1 against) in 2 matches.
- Widzew away record this season: 1W, 1D, 0L (2 goals for, 0 against) in 2 matches.
- Slask overall form: LDWL (4 pts from 4 games); Widzew overall form: LWDD (5 pts from 4 games).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSlask WroclawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slask's H2H edge and home resilience make them unlikely to lose, but Widzew's away solidity prevents higher confidence.
- Slask unbeaten in last 5 H2H vs Widzew (4W, 1D).
- Slask home record: 1W, 1D, 0L this season.
- Widzew away record: 1W, 1D, 0L this season.
- Slask have not lost at home in last 2 home league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSlask Wroclaw or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are strong in first halves defensively, and H2H history shows frequent first-half draws, making Draw the most likely HT result.
- Slask leading at half time in 47% of last 15 matches; trailing in 20%.
- Widzew leading at half time in 53% of last 15 matches; trailing in 7%.
- Both teams have similar first half goal averages (0.9 for, 0.4/0.3 against).
- In last 5 H2H, first half results: 1-0 Slask, 0-0, 0-0, 0-0, 0-0 (four draws at HT).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw is plausible given both teams' solid defensive records and H2H history, but predicting exact HT/FT draw is inherently low probability.
- Slask home record: 1W, 1D, 0L; Widzew away record: 1W, 1D, 0L.
- Both teams have drawn 1 of their last 2 home/away matches respectively.
- Last H2H meeting ended 0-0 (Draw/Draw).
- Both teams have similar overall points and goal differences.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance22%

Goals1 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show defensive solidity in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, supporting Under 2.5.
- Slask average 2.3 goals for and 0.9 goals against in last 15 matches, but only 1.0 goals per home league game this season.
- Widzew average 1.7 goals for and 0.9 goals against in last 15 matches, with 0 goals conceded in 2 away league games.
- Last 3 H2H meetings: 3-0, 0-0, 2-1 (two of three under 2.5).
- Both teams have strong defensive records in respective home/away splits this season.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have strong defensive records in their respective home/away contexts, and recent H2H has seen clean sheets, making BTTS No likely.
- Widzew have kept clean sheets in both away league matches this season (2 games, 0 goals conceded).
- Slask have conceded only 1 goal in 2 home league matches.
- Last 3 H2H meetings: Slask kept clean sheets in two (3-0, 0-0).
- Slask average 0.9 goals conceded overall; Widzew average 0.9 goals conceded overall.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slask's solid home defense and Widzew's lack of away goals this season support a home clean sheet, but sample size is small.
- Slask kept clean sheets in 2 of last 5 H2H vs Widzew (3-0, 0-0).
- Slask home league record: 1 goal conceded in 2 matches (0.5 per game).
- Widzew away league record: 0 goals scored in 2 matches (0.0 per game).
- Slask overall goals conceded average: 0.9 per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostWidzew Lodz not to scoreEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Widzew's away defensive record is strong, but Slask's home scoring ability and H2H history make this less certain.
- Widzew have kept clean sheets in both away league matches this season.
- Slask have scored only 2 goals in 2 home league matches (1.0 per game).
- Widzew overall goals conceded average: 0.9 per game.
- Last H2H at Slask: 3-0 Slask win, but Widzew had clean sheet in 0-0 draw in Aug 2024.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSlask Wroclaw not to scoreEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages and strong first-half defensive records, making Under 1.5 first half goals likely.
- Slask average 0.9 first half goals for and 0.4 first half goals against in last 15 matches.
- Widzew average 0.9 first half goals for and 0.3 first half goals against in last 15 matches.
- Combined first half goal average: 1.8 total, but both teams tend to keep first halves tight.
- In last 5 H2H, first half goals were limited (e.g., 0-0 at HT in 0-0 draw, 1-0 at HT in 3-0 win).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to see more goals as teams open up, but evidence is mixed, so confidence is low.
- Slask average 1.4 second half goals (2.3 total - 0.9 first half) in last 15 matches.
- Widzew average 0.8 second half goals (1.7 total - 0.9 first half) in last 15 matches.
- Combined second half average: 2.2 goals, but variance is high.
- Recent H2H: 3-0 win had 2 second half goals; 2-1 win had 1 second half goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low corner counts on average, suggesting Under 9.5 corners, but limited data on home/away splits reduces confidence.
- Slask average 4.7 corners per match in last 15; Widzew average 3.0 corners per match.
- Combined average corners: 7.7, below 9.5 line.
- Slask home corners average not available, but overall low.
- Widzew away corners average not available, but overall low.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined yellow card averages are below the line, but Widzew's higher card count introduces uncertainty.
- Slask average 0.7 yellow cards per match in last 15; Widzew average 2.7 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.4, below 4.5 line.
- Slask average 12.7 fouls per match; Widzew average 14.4 fouls per match.
- No red card data for this season, but averages suggest moderate discipline.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 4.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 45.5% vs our estimate 38% for Slask win; Widzew's away form is solid but H2H strongly favors Slask, making the away win overpriced.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

W3-0Slask WroclawvWidzew ŁódźFeb 15, 2025EKS

D0-0Widzew ŁódźvSlask WroclawAug 11, 2024EKS

W2-1Slask WroclawvWidzew ŁódźMar 2, 2024EKS

W0-2Widzew ŁódźvSlask WroclawAug 25, 2023EKS

L1-0Widzew ŁódźvSlask WroclawFeb 17, 2023EKS

Slask Wroclaw: 3 clean sheetsWidzew Lodz: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	4-5	4	LDWL
8	Widzew Lodz	4	1	2	1	5-4	5	LWDD

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Slask Wroclaw

L1-2Zaglebie LubinAug 15EKS

D0-0Cracovia KrakowAug 9EKS

W2-1Raków CzęstochowaAug 2EKS

L1-2Gornik ZabrzeJul 25EKS

W3-1ZlinJul 18FRI

D0-0Odra OpoleJul 11FRI

W6-0Lechia Zielona GóraJul 8FRI

W4-1Chrobry GłogówJul 4FRI

D0-0Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiMay 24I L

W3-1Polonia BytomMay 17I L

D2-2ŁKS ŁódźMay 11I L

W4-0Górnik ŁęcznaMay 1I L

W3-2Stal MielecApr 25I L

D2-2Znicz PruszkówApr 18I L

W4-0Polonia WarszawaApr 10I L

Widzew Lodz

L1-2Korona KielceAug 15EKS

W2-0JagielloniaAug 9EKS

D0-0Wisla PlockJul 31EKS

D2-2Motor LublinJul 26EKS

W2-0Puszcza NiepołomiceJul 19FRI

W4-3Mannsdorf-GroßenzersdorfJul 13FRI

W2-0BeşiktaşJul 10FRI

D0-0Dunajska StredaJul 4FRI

W4-0Stal RzeszówJun 27FRI

W2-1Piast GliwiceMay 23EKS

L0-1Korona KielceMay 15EKS

W3-1Lechia GdanskMay 9EKS

L0-1Legia WarszawaMay 1EKS

W2-0Motor LublinApr 26EKS

L1-2Radomiak RadomApr 18EKS

Squad & Injuries

Slask Wroclaw

27 available

Attackers4

Midfielders9

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Widzew Lodz

33 available

Attackers5

Midfielders14

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Slask Wroclaw

Slask Wroclaw or Draw

Under 2.5

No

Draw

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Slask Wroclaw

Widzew Lodz

Squad & Injuries

Slask Wroclaw

Widzew Lodz