Over 2.5
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
H2H has produced over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 and Norwich's away matches average 3.0 total goals, supporting a moderate lean to the over.
ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The strongest value is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.50 (implied 40% vs our 55% estimate, +15 point edge).
Avoid the home win at 2.15 and first-half over 0.5 goals at 1.30, both of which are overpriced relative to our model.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
H2H has produced over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 and Norwich's away matches average 3.0 total goals, supporting a moderate lean to the over.
Market 40% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams average over 1.4 second-half goals in recent matches, and the odds offer a significant edge over our estimate.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60%
Combined corners profile over the last 8 matches projects sustained wing pressure above the 10.5 baseline.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 46.5% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MillwallPromotion - Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-0 | 3 |
| 18 | Norwich City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0 |

