Under 2.5
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have moderate scoring averages and Maritimo's home games tend to be low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.
Primeira LigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Maritimo are likely to avoid defeat (75% double chance), but the odds offer no value.
The best bet is under 2.5 goals at 1.73, with a 60% estimated probability versus the 57.8% implied by the market. Avoid first-half under 1.5 goals and Maritimo to win, as both are overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have moderate scoring averages and Maritimo's home games tend to be low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 76.9%
Maritimo's strong home form and Academico's poor away record support the double chance, though the odds offer no positive edge.
BetBugs 65% · Market 73.5%
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, suggesting a cautious start and under 1.5 first-half goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% vs our 45% estimate; no edge and H2H psychology against Maritimo.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MaritimoPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-1 | 6 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1 |

