Loudoun United00 – 0New Mexico United0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

New Mexico's superior form and H2H dominance, combined with Loudoun's poor home record, make an away win the most likely outcome.

• New Mexico United have won their last 5 USL Championship matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding 3.
• Loudoun United have only 1 win in 11 home matches this season (1W 7D 3L).
• New Mexico United won the last two H2H meetings, including a 3-1 away win at Segra Field in May 2023.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostNew Mexico UnitedEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

New Mexico's early scoring tendency and Loudoun's poor first-half record give the away side a slight edge at the break.

• New Mexico United have led at half-time in 27% of their matches this season.
• Loudoun United have trailed at half-time in 47% of their matches.
• New Mexico United have scored first in 4 of their last 5 matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostNew Mexico UnitedEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

New Mexico's ability to control matches from the start makes a half-time/full-time double a plausible but low-probability outcome.

• New Mexico United have won both halves in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Loudoun United have lost both halves in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
• New Mexico United won the last H2H meeting 1-0 with a first-half goal.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostNew Mexico United/New Mexico UnitedEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

New Mexico's attacking output and Loudoun's defensive vulnerability suggest a match with at least three goals.

• New Mexico United average 1.9 goals scored per match this season, with 26 goals in 17 games.
• Loudoun United average 1.5 goals conceded per match, with 30 goals conceded in 19 games.
• The last H2H meeting at Segra Field ended 3-1 to New Mexico United.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Loudoun's ability to score at home and New Mexico's occasional defensive lapses on the road make both teams scoring likely.

• Loudoun United have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches across all competitions.
• New Mexico United have conceded in 6 of their last 8 away matches.
• Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 H2H meetings.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

New Mexico's tendency to score early and Loudoun's first-half defensive weakness support a first-half goal.

• New Mexico United average 0.7 first-half goals per match this season.
• Loudoun United average 0.6 first-half goals conceded per match.
• In New Mexico's last 5 matches, there has been a first-half goal in 4 of them.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to be more open in the second half, but the evidence is not strong enough for high confidence.

• New Mexico United have scored 9 second-half goals in their last 5 matches.
• Loudoun United have conceded 10 second-half goals in their last 5 home matches.
• The last H2H meeting at Segra Field had 3 second-half goals.