Draw
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits and H2H history includes two draws in the last five meetings.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the draw at 3.50, Under 2.5 goals at 2.05, and BTTS No at 2.20 — all offer positive edges based on low-scoring H2H trends and Korona's defensive solidity.
Avoid the double chance 'Korona or Draw' at 1.25 and the home win at 1.91, as the market overprices the home side.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams have high draw rates in their respective home/away splits and H2H history includes two draws in the last five meetings.
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 48%
Both teams have high rates of drawing at half-time, and H2H first halves are often level.
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 58%
Korona's home matches average only 1.8 total goals and 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings ended with a clean sheet, supporting a low-scoring game.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 4 |

