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Predictions graded

Cincinnati1Seattle Sounders1

HT 1–0Sat 22 Aug 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–450%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 16:52 · Europe/Bucharest

Cincinnati's strong home form and Seattle's five-match losing streak make the hosts likely winners, but the odds are fair.

The best value is in the first-half result (Cincinnati at 2.20, +5pt edge) and half-time/full-time (Cincinnati/Cincinnati at 2.63, +2pt edge). Avoid Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes, which are heavily overpriced.

Context

Cincinnati average 3.1 goals per home game.
- Seattle average 0.7 goals per away game.
- Cincinnati have won 6 of 9 home matches.
Seattle's last five results: LLLLL.
- They scored 3 goals and conceded 10 in that stretch.
- Three of those losses came in away matches.
Cincinnati conceded 19 goals in 9 home matches.
- Seattle scored in 6 of 10 away matches.
- Cincinnati's last 5 home matches saw them concede in 4.
2023: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
- 2022: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
- 2019: Seattle 4-1 Cincinnati

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's strong home scoring and Seattle's poor away form and five-match losing streak give the hosts a clear edge.
- Cincinnati home record: 6W-1D-2L, 28 goals scored in 9 home matches (3.1 per game).
- Seattle away record: 3W-2D-5L, only 7 goals scored in 10 away matches (0.7 per game).
- Cincinnati last 5 form: DWLWW, including 4-2 and 6-2 home wins.
- Seattle last 5 form: LLLLL, with 3 goals scored and 10 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCincinnatiEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's strong home form and Seattle's struggles on the road make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Cincinnati home record: 6W-1D-2L, unbeaten in 7 of 9 home games.
- Seattle away record: 3W-2D-5L, lost half of away games.
- H2H: Cincinnati won the most recent meeting 1-0 at home.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCincinnati or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's habit of leading at the break, especially at home, gives them the edge in the first half.
- Cincinnati led at halftime in 53% of matches overall.
- Cincinnati home matches: led at halftime in 6 of 9 games.
- Seattle trailed at halftime in 33% of matches and led in only 27%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCincinnatiEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's strong home starts and Seattle's poor away form make a home lead at both intervals plausible.
- Cincinnati led at halftime in 53% of matches and won 37% overall.
- Cincinnati home: led at halftime in 6 of 9 and won 6 of 9.
- Seattle away: trailed at halftime in 4 of 10 and lost 5 of 10.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostCincinnati/CincinnatiEstimated chance40%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's high-scoring home games and Seattle's defensive frailty point to a match with at least three goals.
- Cincinnati home matches average 5.2 total goals (28 scored, 19 conceded in 9 games).
- Cincinnati overall average 2.8 goals scored per game, Seattle average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Seattle's last 5 matches: 3 goals scored, 10 conceded, with 4 of 5 over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, and Cincinnati's attacking output at home should ensure goals at both ends.
- Cincinnati home: 28 scored, 19 conceded in 9 games, both teams scored in 7 of 9.
- Seattle away: 7 scored, 10 conceded in 10 games, both teams scored in 5 of 10.
- Cincinnati overall: 46 scored, 45 conceded in 19 games, both teams scored in 13 of 19.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's home defense has been leaky, and Seattle has managed to score in most away games.
- Cincinnati conceded in 7 of 9 home matches this season.
- Seattle scored in 6 of 10 away matches.
- Cincinnati's last 5 home matches: conceded in 4.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSeattle Sounders to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cincinnati's strong first-half scoring at home and Seattle's tendency to concede early suggest a lively opening period.
- Cincinnati averages 1.5 first-half goals per game overall.
- Cincinnati home matches: 28 goals in 9 games, with 1.5 first-half goals average.
- Seattle averages 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average suggests a total around 10.
- Cincinnati averages 3.8 corners per game, Seattle 4.4.
- Cincinnati home matches: 3.8 corners for, opponent corners 6.0 (total ~9.8).
- Seattle away matches: 4.4 corners for, opponent corners 6.0 (total ~10.4).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages are near the 3.5 line, making this a coin-flip market.
- Cincinnati averages 2.1 yellow cards per game, Seattle 1.5.
- Cincinnati home matches: 2.1 yellows for, opponent 1.6 (total ~3.7).
- Seattle away matches: 1.5 yellows for, opponent 1.8 (total ~3.3).
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 29% vs our estimate 20% leaves no value; the away side's form is dire and the price is short.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 2W

L1-0FC CincinnativSeattle SoundersMar 12, 2023MAJ

D1-1Seattle SoundersvFC CincinnatiSep 28, 2022MAJ

L4-1Seattle SoundersvFC CincinnatiMar 3, 2019MAJ

Seattle Sounders unbeaten in 3 meetings2.7 goals/game avg

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Cincinnati Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	19	7	6	6	46-45	27	DWLWW
11	Seattle Sounders	18	7	3	8	20-24	24	LLLLL

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Cincinnati

D1-1Orlando City SCAug 15MAJ

L1-2AtlasAug 12LEA

W2-0U.N.A.M. - PumasAug 8LEA

W3-1CF PachucaAug 4LEA

W4-2San Jose EarthquakesAug 1MAJ

L1-2Columbus CrewJul 25MAJ

W4-3Vancouver WhitecapsJul 22MAJ

W3-1BurnleyJul 10FRI

W6-2Orlando City SCMay 23MAJ

D3-3San DiegoMay 17MAJ

L3-5Inter MiamiMay 13MAJ

D2-2CharlotteMay 9MAJ

W3-2Chicago FireMay 3MAJ

W2-0New York Red BullsApr 25MAJ

D4-4New York City FCApr 22MAJ

Seattle Sounders

L0-2Vancouver WhitecapsAug 17MAJ

L1-2Guadalajara ChivasAug 13LEA

W3-0Club QueretaroAug 9LEA

L0-3TolucaAug 6LEA

L1-2Portland TimbersAug 2MAJ

L0-1Philadelphia UnionJul 25MAJ

L1-3AustinJul 23MAJ

L1-5Portland TimbersJul 17MAJ

L0-1Los Angeles FCMay 25MAJ

L0-2Los Angeles GalaxyMay 17MAJ

W3-2San Jose EarthquakesMay 14MAJ

D1-1San DiegoMay 10MAJ

D1-1Sporting Kansas CityMay 2MAJ

W2-1FC DallasApr 26MAJ

W4-1St. Louis CityApr 19MAJ

Squad & Injuries

Cincinnati

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Seattle Sounders

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Cincinnati

Cincinnati at half-time / Cincinnati at full-time

Over 1.5

Cincinnati

Cincinnati or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Seattle Sounders

Over 2.5

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Cincinnati

Seattle Sounders

Squad & Injuries

Cincinnati

Seattle Sounders