Primera DivisiónFull time

Predictions graded

Anzoategui0Trujillanos0

HT 0–0Fri 21 Aug 2026, 20:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–843%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 21 Aug 2026, 03:42 · Europe/Bucharest

Anzoategui are winless at home and Trujillanos are winless away, making this a clash of two struggling sides.

The only clear betting edge is Over 2.5 goals at 1.95, with a 3.7-point value gap. Avoid backing Anzoategui to win, as the market overprices them at 53% versus the model's 38%.

Context

Anzoategui home record: 0W 2D 4L in 6 home matches.
- They have scored only 4 goals and conceded 11 in those home games.
- Their last home league match was a 3-4 loss to Portuguesa FC on 9 August.
Trujillanos away record: 0W 1D 5L in 6 away matches.
- They have conceded 15 goals in those 6 away games, an average of 2.5 per match.
- Their last five league results are all losses, including a 0-1 defeat at Portuguesa FC on 15 August.
Anzoategui average 1.7 goals conceded per match overall.
- Trujillanos average 1.9 goals conceded per match overall and 2.5 per away match.
- Anzoategui's home matches average 2.5 total goals, and Trujillanos' away matches average 3.3 total goals.
Last meeting: Trujillanos 1-1 Anzoategui on 1 March 2026.
- In the 2024 Segunda División semifinal, each team won their home leg.
- Overall H2H: 1 win each and 1 draw in 3 meetings.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.85fair 1.92

BetBugs 52% · Market 54.1%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown they can score but also concede regularly, and the last H2H saw both teams score, supporting a BTTS Yes.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Anzoategui's home advantage and Trujillanos' dreadful away form (0 wins in 6) give the hosts a slight edge, but Anzoategui's own poor home record (0 wins in 6) tempers confidence.
- Anzoategui home record: 0W 2D 4L in 6 home matches, but overall 2W 3D 8L in 13 matches
- Trujillanos away record: 0W 1D 5L in 6 away matches, overall 0W 4D 9L in 13 matches
- Anzoategui last 5 form: DLWLL (4 points from 15), Trujillanos last 5 form: LLLLL (0 points from 15)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAnzoateguiEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to win, with Anzoategui drawing 2 of 6 at home and Trujillanos drawing 1 of 6 away, while the most recent H2H ended level.
- H2H last meeting: 1-1 draw (Mar 2026)
- Anzoategui home draws: 2 in 6 home matches
- Trujillanos away draws: 1 in 6 away matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Despite Trujillanos' awful away form, Anzoategui have not won at home all season, leaving a small chance for an away upset.
- Trujillanos away record: 0W 1D 5L, but Anzoategui home record: 0W 2D 4L
- Trujillanos overall: 0W 4D 9L, Anzoategui overall: 2W 3D 8L
- Trujillanos last 5: LLLLL, Anzoategui last 5: DLWLL
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTrujillanosEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Anzoategui are unbeaten in 2 of 6 home games, and Trujillanos have only avoided defeat once in 6 away games, making a home win or draw likely.
- Anzoategui home: 0W 2D 4L, so 2 of 6 home matches ended in draw or win
- Trujillanos away: 0W 1D 5L, so 1 of 6 away matches ended in draw or win
- H2H last meeting: draw
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAnzoategui or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Anzoategui's home winless streak (0 wins in 6) strongly supports the away side or draw, despite Trujillanos' own poor away record.
- Anzoategui home: 0W 2D 4L, so 6 of 6 home matches ended in draw or loss
- Trujillanos away: 0W 1D 5L, so 6 of 6 away matches ended in draw or loss
- Anzoategui have not won at home this season
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or TrujillanosEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to be level at half time, but the probability of a draw at both half time and full time remains low given their poor form.
- Anzoategui half-time draws: 40% (6 of 15 matches)
- Trujillanos half-time draws: 40% (6 of 15 matches)
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at half time, 1-1 full time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Anzoategui's home winless record makes a home HT/FT double unlikely, despite some first-half leads.
- Anzoategui leading at half time in 20% of matches, winning 15% overall
- Anzoategui home: 0 wins in 6, so no home HT/FT win this season
- Trujillanos trailing at half time in 33% of matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostAnzoategui/AnzoateguiEstimated chance15%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Trujillanos have not won any match this season, making an away HT/FT double extremely unlikely.
- Trujillanos leading at half time in 27% of matches, winning 0% overall
- Trujillanos away: 0 wins in 6, so no away HT/FT win this season
- Anzoategui trailing at half time in 27% of matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostTrujillanos/TrujillanosEstimated chance10%

Goals2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede heavily, especially Trujillanos away (2.5 goals against per game), and Anzoategui's home games average 2.5 total goals, suggesting a decent chance of over 2.5.
- Anzoategui average goals per match: 1.3 for, 1.7 against (total 3.0)
- Trujillanos average goals per match: 0.7 for, 1.9 against (total 2.6)
- Anzoategui home matches: 4 goals for, 11 against in 6 (avg 2.5 total)
- Trujillanos away matches: 5 goals for, 15 against in 6 (avg 3.3 total)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to score, with Anzoategui averaging under 1 goal per home game and Trujillanos under 1 goal per away game, making under 2.5 plausible.
- Anzoategui home: 4 goals for in 6 (0.67 per game), Trujillanos away: 5 goals for in 6 (0.83 per game)
- Both teams have low scoring rates overall: Anzoategui 1.3, Trujillanos 0.7 goals per game
- H2H last meeting: 1-1 (2 goals)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown they can score but also concede regularly, and the last H2H saw both teams score, supporting a BTTS Yes.
- Anzoategui scored in 4 of 6 home matches, Trujillanos scored in 3 of 6 away matches
- Anzoategui conceded in 5 of 6 home matches, Trujillanos conceded in 6 of 6 away matches
- H2H last meeting: both teams scored (1-1)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Given the low scoring rates, especially Trujillanos' 0.7 goals per game, there is a significant chance one team fails to score.
- Anzoategui failed to score in 2 of 6 home matches, Trujillanos failed to score in 3 of 6 away matches
- Trujillanos average only 0.7 goals per game overall
- Anzoategui average 1.3 goals per game overall
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a moderate rate of first-half goals, with combined averages suggesting a goal in the first half is more likely than not.
- Anzoategui first half goals: 0.7 per game, first half conceded: 0.6 per game
- Trujillanos first half goals: 0.5 per game, first half conceded: 0.5 per game
- Anzoategui leading at half time in 20% of matches, trailing in 27%
- Trujillanos leading at half time in 27%, trailing in 33%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second half tends to see more goals for both teams, but the low overall scoring rates make over 1.5 second-half goals a low-confidence call.
- Anzoategui total goals per match: 3.0, first half total: 1.3, implying second half total: 1.7
- Trujillanos total goals per match: 2.6, first half total: 1.0, implying second half total: 1.6
- Both teams tend to concede more in second halves based on overall vs first half averages
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance40%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 53% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 2W

D1-1Trujillanos FCvAnzoátegui FCMar 1, 2026PRI

L3-1Trujillanos FCvAnzoátegui FCNov 17, 2024SEG

L2-0Anzoátegui FCvTrujillanos FCNov 9, 2024SEG

Trujillanos unbeaten in 3 meetings2.7 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Anzoategui	13	2	3	8	15-25	9	DLWLL
14	Trujillanos	13	0	4	9	9-26	4	LLLLL

5pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Anzoategui

L0-1Estudiantes de Merida FCAug 15PRI

L3-4Portuguesa FCAug 9PRI

W1-0Rayo ZulianoAug 6PRI

W3-1Atletico Avila FCJun 24COP

D1-1Zamora FCApr 25PRI

L3-6Carabobo FCApr 20PRI

W3-1Caracas FCApr 12PRI

L2-3UCVApr 3PRI

L0-2Metropolitanos FCMar 23PRI

D0-0Deportivo La GuairaMar 17PRI

L0-1Monagas SCMar 14PRI

L0-1Puerto CabelloMar 8PRI

D1-1Trujillanos FCMar 1PRI

L0-3Estudiantes de Merida FCFeb 23PRI

W3-0Portuguesa FCFeb 14PRI

Trujillanos

D2-2Urena SCAug 18COP

L0-1Portuguesa FCAug 15PRI

L1-3Deportivo Tachira FCAug 9PRI

L0-2Carabobo FCAug 4PRI

W2-0UCVAug 1PRI

D0-0Rayo ZulianoJun 24COP

L0-1Deportivo La GuairaApr 25PRI

L1-3Puerto CabelloApr 21PRI

L0-2Estudiantes de Merida FCApr 12PRI

L1-3Rayo ZulianoApr 4PRI

L0-3Zamora FCMar 22PRI

L2-4Caracas FCMar 17PRI

L0-1Metropolitanos FCMar 14PRI

L1-3Monagas SCMar 8PRI

D1-1Anzoátegui FCMar 1PRI

Squad & Injuries

Anzoategui

31 available

Attackers9

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Trujillanos

36 available

Attackers8

Midfielders13

Defenders10

Goalkeeper5

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result4 of 8 landed

Goals2 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

Anzoategui

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Anzoategui

Trujillanos

Squad & Injuries

Anzoategui

Trujillanos