Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Estudiantes de Mérida or Draw (double chance) at 1.40 for a safe, marginal edge, and consider Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 given both teams' high-scoring home/away splits.
Avoid the home win at 1.95 (negative value) and the first-half over 0.5 goals at 1.36 (overpriced).
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 71.4% · BetBugs 72%
Estudiantes are unbeaten in 67% of home matches and Anzoategui have lost 57% of away games, making the home side not losing a high-probability outcome, though the odds offer only a marginal edge.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams consistently find the net in their respective home/away fixtures, making BTTS likely.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high-scoring home/away splits and the last H2H produced 7 goals, suggesting an open game.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 28% vs our estimate 28% offers no value, and Anzoategui's away form is too inconsistent to back at these odds.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Estudiantes de MeridaPromotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular) | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21-18 | 20 |
| 13 |  Anzoategui | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15-25 | 9 |