Over 2.5
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Both sides show attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent home/away splits pointing to a higher-scoring contest.
UEFA Europa LeagueFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Anderlecht are favourites but offer no value at 2.05; the real edge is on over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.60 (55% model probability vs 38.5% implied).
Both teams to score at 1.70 is also a slight value play, while first-half goals and Anderlecht -1 are overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Both sides show attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent home/away splits pointing to a higher-scoring contest.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away splits, and Anderlecht's away defense has been leaky.
Market 38.5% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves tend to open up as both teams push for a result, with recent splits showing consistent scoring after the break.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 31% vs our estimate of 30% for Kairat; no value and the home side's European form is poor.

