Besiktas vs Zalgiris Kaunas: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Besiktas's strong European form and home advantage, combined with Zalgiris's heavy away defeat to a similar-level opponent, make a home win the most likely outcome.
- Besiktas won all 4 European matches in last 5 (vs Hradec Králové twice, FC Midtjylland twice) with 4 clean sheets.
- Zalgiris lost 0-5 away to Dinamo Zagreb in Champions League, showing vulnerability against stronger opposition.
- Besiktas average 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded overall; Zalgiris average 1.5 scored but 0.9 conceded, but their defensive record is inflated by domestic league.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBesiktasEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Besiktas's solid home form and Zalgiris's poor away record, the double chance of Besiktas or Draw covers the most probable outcomes.
- Besiktas unbeaten in last 5 European matches (4W, 1D).
- Zalgiris have only 1 win in their last 5 away matches across all competitions (1W, 2D, 2L).
- Besiktas have not lost at home in their last 5 home matches (3W, 2D).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBesiktas or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half leading percentages, and recent matches show a tendency for level scores at the break.
- Besiktas led at half-time in only 33% of matches; Zalgiris led in 40%.
- In Besiktas's last 5 matches, 3 were level at half-time.
- In Zalgiris's last 5 matches, 2 were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Besiktas win is a plausible pattern given Besiktas's tendency to grind out results in the second half.
- Besiktas often win after a level first half: in their last 5 wins, 2 were level at half-time.
- Zalgiris have lost after being level at half-time in 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Besiktas's second-half strength is suggested by their ability to keep clean sheets in Europe.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/BesiktasEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown low-scoring tendencies in recent matches, especially Besiktas's defensive solidity in Europe, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Besiktas's last 5 matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 1-0, 2-0, 1-0, 0-0).
- Zalgiris's last 5 matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals (1-1, 1-0, 0-0).
- Besiktas average only 1.1 goals per game; Zalgiris average 1.5 but often against weaker domestic opponents.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Besiktas's strong defensive record in Europe and Zalgiris's occasional struggles to score away from home make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Besiktas kept clean sheets in their last 4 European matches.
- Zalgiris failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches (0-5 vs Dinamo Zagreb, 0-0 vs KI Klaksvik).
- Besiktas conceded only 0.8 goals per game on average.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Besiktas's defensive discipline in European competition and Zalgiris's occasional away scoring droughts support a home clean sheet.
- Besiktas kept clean sheets in their last 4 European matches.
- Zalgiris failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
- Besiktas average only 0.8 goals conceded per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonZalgiris Kaunas not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Besiktas average 0.6 first-half goals; Zalgiris average 0.7 first-half goals.
- In Besiktas's last 5 matches, 4 had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
- In Zalgiris's last 5 matches, 3 had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and combined averages suggest a total above 9.5 is possible, though data is limited.
- Besiktas average 6.3 corners per game; Zalgiris average 7.5 corners per game.
- In Besiktas's last match with corner data, they had 8 corners and opponent 2 (total 10).
- Zalgiris's last match with corner data: 8 corners for, 1 against (total 9).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have relatively low card averages, and recent matches show moderate card counts, making under 4.5 cards a reasonable expectation.
- Besiktas average 1.9 yellow cards per game; Zalgiris average 1.5 yellow cards per game.
- In Besiktas's last 5 matches with card data, total cards (both teams) were 5, 7, 5, 3, 5 (average 5).
- In Zalgiris's last 5 matches with card data, total cards were 3, 4, 4, 3, 4 (average 3.6).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 4.5Estimated chance58%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Besiktas3Zalgiris Kaunas0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Besiktas

Besiktas or Draw

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Besiktas

Besiktas or Draw

Over 2.5

Recent Form

Besiktas

Zalgiris Kaunas

Squad & Injuries

Besiktas

Zalgiris Kaunas