Yes
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 55%
Rangers' defensive vulnerabilities and St. Mirren's consistent scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible outcome.
League CupFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Rangers are strong favourites, but the 1.30 home win price offers no value (our model: 68% vs implied 77%).
The best edge is on second-half over 1.5 goals at 2.10 (+7.4 points), while over 2.5 goals and first-half goals markets should be avoided due to negative value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 55%
Rangers' defensive vulnerabilities and St. Mirren's consistent scoring record make both teams scoring a plausible outcome.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves tend to be more open as both teams push for a result, especially in a knockout cup tie.
Other edges · 6
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
RangersBetBugs 68% · Market 76.9%
Rangers' dominant home H2H record and superior recent form make them strong favourites, reinforced by St. Mirren's cup vulnerability.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 77% leaves no cushion vs our 68% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

