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Predictions graded

IBV Vestmannaeyjar1IA Akranes3

HT 0–1Sun 16 Aug 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–377%

Edges9–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Aug 2026, 02:33 · Europe/Bucharest

IA Akranes are unbeaten in the last three H2H meetings and hold a form edge over winless IBV, making Draw or IA Akranes (1.53) the safest play with a small value edge.

The away win at 2.50 offers a marginal edge, while BTTS and Over 2.5 are likely but overpriced. Avoid first-half and clean sheet markets due to heavy vig.

Context

IA Akranes won 2-0 and 3-0 in the 2025 league meetings.
- The most recent meeting in May 2026 ended 2-2.
- IBV have failed to beat IA Akranes in their last three attempts.
IBV's last five results: D, L, L, D, L.
- They have only one win in their last five home matches.
- IBV have conceded in eight of nine home games this season.
IA Akranes have conceded in eight of nine away matches.
- They average 2.6 goals conceded per away game.
- Their away record is 3W, 1D, 5L.
IBV matches average 3.6 total goals.
- IA Akranes matches average 3.7 total goals.
- IA Akranes away games average 4.2 total goals.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology and recent form favor IA Akranes, who have avoided defeat in the last three league meetings and show better current momentum.
- IA Akranes are unbeaten in last 3 H2H league meetings (2W,1D), including 2-0 and 3-0 wins in 2025.
- IA Akranes away record: 3W,1D,5L, 15 goals scored, 23 conceded in 9 away matches.
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar home record: 3W,2D,4L, 16 goals scored, 17 conceded in 9 home matches.
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar form last 5: D,L,L,D,L (0 wins); IA Akranes form last 5: W,D,W,L,L (2 wins).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonIA AkranesEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given IBV's poor home form and IA's H2H edge, the away side or draw is the safer combined outcome.
- IA Akranes unbeaten in last 3 H2H league meetings.
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar have only 1 win in last 5 home matches.
- IA Akranes have lost only 1 of last 5 away matches (2W,2D,1L).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or IA AkranesEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
IA's superior first-half performance metrics give them a slight edge to lead at the break.
- IA lead at half-time in 40% of matches vs IBV's 20%.
- IA trail at half-time in only 27% vs IBV's 40%.
- IA average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded; IBV average 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonIA AkranesEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by an IA win is plausible given IA's second-half strength and IBV's tendency to fade.
- IBV have drawn at half-time in 40% of matches (trailing 40%, leading 20%).
- IA have drawn at half-time in 33% of matches (leading 40%, trailing 27%).
- IA have won 6 of 18 matches overall, including 3 away wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / IA AkranesEstimated chance22%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
IA have shown ability to dominate both halves against weaker opponents, but this is a low-probability outcome.
- IA have led at half-time in 40% of matches and won 33% overall.
- IBV have trailed at half-time in 40% and lost 50% overall.
- IA won both halves in their 5-1 win over Stjarnan and 2-0 win over Thor Akureyri.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostIA AkranesEstimated chance18%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IA are less likely to trail at half-time, making draw or IA the safer first-half double chance.
- IA lead at half-time in 40% of matches, draw in 33%, trail in 27%.
- IBV lead at half-time in only 20%, draw in 40%, trail in 40%.
- IA have better first-half goal difference (+0.1 vs -0.1).
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or IA AkranesEstimated chance65%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have leaky defenses and consistent scoring records, making BTTS likely.
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar average 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match overall.
- IA Akranes average 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match overall.
- Last H2H meeting ended 2-2.
- IBV home matches: 16 goals scored, 17 conceded in 9 games; IA away: 15 scored, 23 conceded in 9 games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
High-scoring tendencies for both teams, especially in IA away games, support over 2.5 goals.
- IBV matches average 3.6 total goals (1.7+1.9).
- IA matches average 3.7 total goals (1.8+1.9).
- Last H2H meeting had 4 goals.
- IBV home games: 33 total goals in 9 matches (3.67 per game); IA away: 38 total goals in 9 matches (4.22 per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score or concede in the first half, with combined first-half goal averages above 1.0.
- IBV average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- IA average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- IBV leading at half-time in 20% of matches, trailing in 40%.
- IA leading at half-time in 40% of matches, trailing in 27%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as both teams push for results, with combined averages supporting over 1.5 goals.
- IBV average 1.0 second-half goals scored (1.7-0.7) and 1.1 conceded (1.9-0.8).
- IA average 1.1 second-half goals scored (1.8-0.7) and 1.3 conceded (1.9-0.6).
- Combined second-half average total goals: 2.1.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, but simultaneous first-half goals are less common.
- IBV first-half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.8 conceded.
- IA first-half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.6 conceded.
- In last H2H meeting, first half ended 1-1.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostYesEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IBV's defensive record at home is poor, and IA consistently score away.
- IBV have conceded in 8 of 9 home matches (17 goals conceded).
- IA have scored in 8 of 9 away matches (15 goals scored).
- IBV overall concede 1.9 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIA Akranes to scoreEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IA's away defense is leaky, and IBV have a decent home scoring record.
- IA have conceded in 8 of 9 away matches (23 goals conceded).
- IBV have scored in 8 of 9 home matches (16 goals scored).
- IA overall concede 1.9 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIBV Vestmannaeyjar to scoreEstimated chance68%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without corner data, this is a speculative pick based on typical match flow, hence low confidence.
- Corner data not available in recent matches for either team.
- Both teams average high shot counts (not provided) but likely generate corners.
- No direct corner stats to support this line.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 72.5% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D2-2IA AkranesvIBV VestmannaeyjarMay 21, 2026ÚRV

L0-2IBV VestmannaeyjarvIA AkranesOct 4, 2025ÚRV

W2-0IBV VestmannaeyjarvIA AkranesAug 31, 2025ÚRV

W0-3IA AkranesvIBV VestmannaeyjarJun 1, 2025ÚRV

L3-2IA AkranesvIBV VestmannaeyjarOct 22, 2022ÚRV

IBV Vestmannaeyjar: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Relegation Playoffs	18	4	5	9	29-38	17	DLLDL
6	IA Akranes Play-offs	18	6	4	8	30-36	22	WDWLL

5pt gap between teamsIBV Vestmannaeyjar in relegation zone

Recent Form