KuPS
Market 40% · BetBugs 55%
KuPS have won the last 9 H2H meetings and are 14 points clear at the top, yet the market prices them at only 40%.
VeikkausliigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
KuPS are the value pick to win at 2.50 (55% estimated vs 40% implied), backed by nine straight H2H wins and a 14-point league lead.
The Draw or KuPS double chance at 1.50 is a safer option with an 80% estimated probability. Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 also offers a modest edge, but avoid the first-half draw and KuPS -1 handicap.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
KuPSMarket 40% · BetBugs 55%
KuPS have won the last 9 H2H meetings and are 14 points clear at the top, yet the market prices them at only 40%.
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 80%
KuPS have lost only 1 of 19 league matches and have not lost to FC Lahti in the last 9 meetings, making Draw or KuPS a strong safety play.
Market 16.7% · BetBugs 30%
H2H first halves have been consistently level, and KuPS often win after a level first half, making Draw/KuPS a value HT/FT play.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 45% leaves no cushion vs our 50% estimate; the price already reflects the draw bias and offers no value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC LahtiVeikkausliiga (Relegation Group) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22-16 | 26 |
| 1 | KuPSPromotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34-17 | 40 |

