Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Maribor's superior form and league position give them the edge, though the derby intensity and Olimpija's home motivation add uncertainty.
- Maribor is 1st in the league with 8 points from 4 matches; Olimpija is 9th with 3 points.
- Maribor is unbeaten this season (W2 D2); Olimpija has lost 3 of 4.
- Olimpija's home record: 1 win, 1 loss, 1 goal scored, 2 conceded.
- Maribor's away record: 2 draws, 1 goal scored, 1 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMariborEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Olimpija's poor form and Maribor's consistency, the away side is unlikely to lose, though the derby context could produce a draw.
- Maribor is unbeaten in 4 league matches this season.
- Olimpija has lost 3 of 4 league matches.
- Last 3 H2H: Olimpija 1 win, 2 draws.
- Olimpija's only win this season came at home.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or MariborEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The historical pattern of drawn first halves in this fixture, combined with both teams' modest first-half scoring, points to a stalemate at the break.
- Last 3 H2H first-half results: all draws (0-0, 0-0, 0-0).
- Olimpija's half-time results in last 5 league matches: 3 losses, 2 draws.
- Maribor's half-time results in last 5 league matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss.
- Olimpija's first-half goal difference: -0.4 per match; Maribor's: 0.0.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Maribor is the stronger side, their away draws and the derby's tight nature make a draw-to-win scenario less likely, but possible if they break through late.
- Maribor has won 2 of 4 matches this season, both after leading at half-time.
- Olimpija has lost 3 of 4, twice after trailing at half-time.
- Last 3 H2H: no instance of draw at HT and Maribor win at FT.
- Maribor's away matches this season: both ended in draws.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / MariborEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H pattern strongly favors low-scoring derbies, and both teams' overall goal averages support a tight, cautious match.
- Last 3 H2H meetings all finished Under 2.5 goals (0-1, 0-0, 1-1).
- Olimpija's last 5 league matches: 4 had Under 2.5 goals.
- Maribor's last 5 league matches: 3 had Under 2.5 goals.
- Olimpija averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over last 15; Maribor 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Olimpija's attacking struggles and Maribor's solid defense, combined with H2H clean sheet trends, make both teams scoring unlikely.
- Olimpija kept 2 clean sheets in last 3 H2H meetings.
- Olimpija failed to score in 3 of last 5 league matches.
- Maribor kept 2 clean sheets in last 4 league matches.
- Olimpija's home record this season: 1 goal scored in 2 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and the recent H2H first halves have been goalless, suggesting a cautious opening period.
- Olimpija averages 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Maribor averages 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Last 3 H2H: first-half scores were 0-0, 0-0, 0-0.
- Olimpija trailed at half-time in 47% of recent matches; Maribor led in 33%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to see more action after the break, and the derby intensity could lead to a decisive second-half goal.
- Olimpija's last 5 league matches: 4 had second-half goals.
- Maribor's last 5 league matches: 4 had second-half goals.
- Last 3 H2H: second-half goals in 2 of 3 matches.
- Olimpija concedes 1.4 goals per match on average, often later in games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Olimpija's scoring woes give Maribor a chance for a clean sheet, but the derby atmosphere and Olimpija's desperation make it a risky call.
- Maribor kept 2 clean sheets in 4 league matches this season.
- Olimpija failed to score in 3 of 4 league matches.
- Last H2H at Maribor: Olimpija won 1-0, but Olimpija's current attack is blunt.
- Maribor's away record: 1 goal conceded in 2 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostOlimpija Ljubljana not to scoreEstimated chance35%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Without concrete corner stats, the low-scoring, tight match expectation suggests a lower corner count, but confidence is low due to data gaps.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Derbies often feature cautious play, reducing corner counts.
- Both teams average 0 corners in provided data, indicating missing stats.
- General low-scoring expectation supports fewer attacking set-pieces.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Olimpija Ljubljana Relegation Playoffs	4	1	0	3	1-4	3	LWLL
1	Maribor Qualifying	4	2	2	0	6-1	8	WDWD

Olimpija Ljubljana1Maribor1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Draw

Draw or Maribor

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Olimpija Ljubljana

Maribor

Squad & Injuries

Olimpija Ljubljana

Maribor