Draw or AV Alta FC
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 80%
New York Cosmos have lost 13 of 18 league matches and are winless away, while AV Alta have lost only 6 of 22, making an away win or draw highly probable.
USL League OneFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
AV Alta FC are clear favorites based on league position and a 4-0 H2H win, but their away form is shaky.
The best value is Double Chance (Draw or AV Alta) at 1.50 with a +13-point edge, while the away win at 2.38 also offers value. Avoid goals markets and BTTS Yes, as the odds overprice the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 80%
New York Cosmos have lost 13 of 18 league matches and are winless away, while AV Alta have lost only 6 of 22, making an away win or draw highly probable.
AV Alta FCMarket 42% · BetBugs 55%
AV Alta's superior league position and dominant 4-0 H2H win support an away victory, though their inconsistent away form tempers confidence.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 66.7%
New York Cosmos concede 2.3 goals per match and AV Alta FC score 1.4 per match, but the home side's poor attack tempers the total.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 40% leaves no cushion vs our 25% estimate; the price flatters a side that has lost 13 of 18 league matches.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18-40 | 11 |
| 7 | AV Alta FCPromotion - USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 32-26 | 32 |

