League OneFull time

Predictions graded

Bradford City2Peterborough United0

HT 0–0Sat 15 Aug 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Aug 2026, 01:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Bradford City are the likelier winners based on form and H2H, but the 1.65 odds offer no value.

The standout bet is over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.50, with a +15-point edge, while BTTS at 1.78 carries a small positive edge. Avoid the home win, double chance, and first-half over 0.5 goals, all of which are overpriced.

Context

Bradford City average 2.0 goals scored per home match in recent data.
- Peterborough United average 1.0 goals scored per away match.
- Bradford's home record is 3W-2D-2L, while Peterborough's away record is 2W-1D-4L.
Peterborough United away record: 2W-1D-4L in recent matches.
- Peterborough conceded in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- Peterborough average 1.5 goals conceded per match overall.
Bradford City won 2-0 at home against Peterborough on 14 Feb 2026.
- Bradford City won 3-1 at home against Peterborough on 9 Mar 2019.
- Bradford are unbeaten in the last three league meetings (2W, 1D).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Bradford City

1.65fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 60.6%

0.0ppshort

The predictor's 45% estimate is below the 60.6% implied by odds of 1.65, indicating no value on the home win despite Bradford's stronger recent form.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bradford City's stronger recent form and home advantage, combined with Peterborough's poor away scoring record, make them the most likely winner.
- Bradford City average 1.8 goals scored per match in last 15, with 2.0 goals per home match.
- Peterborough United average 0.9 goals scored per match in last 15, with 1.0 goals per away match.
- Bradford City won the latest home H2H 2-0 (Feb 2026) and are unbeaten in last 3 league H2H.
- Bradford City home record in last 15: 3W-2D-2L; Peterborough away record: 2W-1D-4L.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBradford CityEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bradford's home resilience and Peterborough's away struggles support a high probability of Bradford avoiding defeat.
- Bradford City have avoided defeat in 5 of their last 7 home matches (all competitions).
- Peterborough United have lost 4 of their last 7 away matches.
- H2H: Bradford unbeaten in last 3 league meetings (2W, 1D).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBradford City or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bradford's higher first-half scoring and leading percentage give them a slight edge, but the probability remains low due to the draw possibility.
- Bradford City led at half-time in 33% of matches; Peterborough led at half-time in 13%.
- Bradford City average 0.6 first-half goals vs Peterborough's 0.4.
- Bradford City trailed at half-time in 20% of matches; Peterborough trailed in 20%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostBradford CityEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bradford's ability to lead at half-time and hold on is plausible but not highly probable given the competitive nature of the league.
- Bradford City led at half-time in 33% of matches and won 40% of matches overall.
- Peterborough United led at half-time in only 13% and won 27% of matches.
- Bradford won the latest H2H home match 2-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostBradford City / Bradford CityEstimated chance28%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined scoring rates and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a moderately high chance of over 2.5 goals.
- Bradford City matches average 2.9 total goals (1.8 for, 1.1 against).
- Peterborough United matches average 2.4 total goals (0.9 for, 1.5 against).
- Bradford home matches average 2.7 total goals; Peterborough away matches average 2.6 total goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bradford's last 10 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive lapses, making BTTS likely.
- Bradford City scored in 12 of last 15 matches; Peterborough scored in 8 of last 15.
- Peterborough conceded in 11 of last 15 matches; Bradford conceded in 9 of last 15.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bradford's last 10 matches and 5 of Peterborough's last 10.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a reasonable chance of scoring in the first half, with combined first-half goal rates supporting over 0.5 goals.
- Bradford City average 0.6 first-half goals scored; Peterborough average 0.4 first-half goals scored.
- Bradford City average 0.3 first-half goals conceded; Peterborough average 0.5 first-half goals conceded.
- In last 15 matches, Bradford had 7 first-half goals in 15 matches; Peterborough had 6 first-half goals in 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates for both teams suggest a moderate probability of over 1.5 goals in the second half.
- Bradford City average 1.2 second-half goals scored (total 1.8 - 0.6 first half).
- Peterborough United average 0.5 second-half goals scored (total 0.9 - 0.4 first half).
- Combined second-half scoring average is 1.7 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average slightly exceeds the 9.5 line.
- Bradford City average 6.1 corners per match; Peterborough average 5.4 corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match: 11.5.
- Bradford home matches average 6.3 corners; Peterborough away matches average 5.6 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages are slightly below the 3.5 line, but variance in officiating could push it over.
- Bradford City average 1.7 yellow cards per match; Peterborough average 1.4 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.1 per match.
- Bradford home matches average 1.6 yellow cards; Peterborough away matches average 1.3 yellow cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance48%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 60.6% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

L2-0BradfordvPeterboroughFeb 14, 2026LEA

D1-1PeterboroughvBradfordAug 23, 2025LEA

L3-1BradfordvPeterboroughMar 9, 2019LEA

D8-8BradfordvPeterboroughDec 11, 2018FAC

D2-2PeterboroughvBradfordDec 1, 2018FAC

Peterborough United unbeaten in 5 meetings5.6 goals/game avg

League Table

League One 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
18	Peterborough United	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

Bradford City leads the leaguePeterborough United leads the league

Recent Form

Bradford City

W2-0RochdaleAug 8LEA

D2-2Salford CityAug 1FRI

W3-2PrestonJul 29FRI

W4-0GmundenJul 24FRI

L0-1Accrington STJul 17FRI

W6-1FC Halifax TownJul 11FRI

W2-1United of ManchesterJul 4FRI

L0-1BoltonMay 14LEA

L0-1BoltonMay 9LEA

W2-1Exeter CityMay 2LEA

D1-1BoltonApr 25LEA

D1-1PlymouthApr 21LEA

D2-2BarnsleyApr 18LEA

L0-1StevenageApr 11LEA

W2-1WycombeApr 6LEA

Peterborough United

W1-0Bristol RoversAug 8LEA

L0-2West BromAug 1FRI

W2-1YorkJul 28FRI

L0-1Boston UnitedJul 25FRI

W1-0Peterborough SportsJul 22FRI

W3-2ColchesterJul 21FRI

D0-0NEOMJul 17FRI

L1-3DoncasterMay 2LEA

D0-0Mansfield TownApr 28LEA

L1-3Stockport CountyApr 25LEA

D1-1Burton AlbionApr 19LEA

L1-3Port ValeApr 16LEA

L1-3BlackpoolApr 11LEA

D1-1CardiffApr 6LEA

L1-2LutonApr 3LEA

Squad & Injuries

Bradford City

24 available

Attackers9

Midfielders5

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Peterborough United

25 available

Attackers5

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 1.5

Bradford City

Bradford City or Draw

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Bradford City

Bradford City or Draw

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Bradford City

Peterborough United

Squad & Injuries

Bradford City

Peterborough United