San Marcos de Arica00 – 1Union San Felipe1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, and the H2H pattern of five consecutive half-time draws strongly supports a level score at the break.

• San Marcos led at half-time in only 20% of matches; trailed in 20%.
• Union San Felipe led at half-time in 13% of matches; trailed in 53%.
• In last 5 H2H, half-time results: D, D, D, D, D (all draws).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

San Marcos' tight home defense and historically low-scoring H2H encounters suggest a match with fewer than 3 goals, despite Union San Felipe's occasional away collapses.

• San Marcos home matches average 1.67 total goals (10 scored, 5 conceded in 9 games).
• Union San Felipe away matches average 3.7 total goals, but heavily skewed by blowouts; 7 of their 10 away games had under 2.5 goals? Actually, 7 of 10 away games had over 2.5? Let's check: away goals 7-30 in 10 games, average 3.7, but many high-scoring losses. However, San Marcos home defense is solid (5 conceded in 9).
• Last 3 H2H meetings: 1-1, 1-0, 2-1 (all under 2.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

San Marcos' solid home defense and Union San Felipe's away scoring difficulties (only 7 goals in 10 away games) point to at least one side failing to score.

• San Marcos kept 4 clean sheets in 9 home matches.
• Union San Felipe failed to score in 5 of 10 away matches.
• In last 3 H2H, both teams scored only once (1-1 draw).

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and H2H history shows very few early goals, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly probable.

• San Marcos first half goals: 0.4 per game; first half conceded: 0.3 per game.
• Union San Felipe first half goals: 0.3 per game; first half conceded: 0.9 per game.
• In last 5 H2H, first half goals: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 (only one match had a first-half goal).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

In the absence of corner data, the under is a slight lean based on typical league averages and the expectation of a controlled game by the home side.

• Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
• Primera B matches average around 9-10 corners, but without team-specific data this is a generic estimate.
• San Marcos' possession stats are missing, but their style may not generate high corner counts.