Jagiellonia Bialystok or Draw
Market 74% · BetBugs 80%
Jagiellonia's strong home form and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, while Widzew's draws suggest a safety net.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Jagiellonia's perfect H2H record and strong home form make them unlikely to lose, with Double Chance (1X) at 1.36 offering a high-confidence edge.
Goals are expected, particularly in the first half, but avoid backing Jagiellonia outright at short odds due to Widzew's resilience and limited early-season data.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 74% · BetBugs 80%
Jagiellonia's strong home form and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, while Widzew's draws suggest a safety net.
Market 74.1% · BetBugs 75%
Both teams consistently score in the first half, with Jagiellonia netting in 7 of last 10 and Widzew in 5 of last 7; H2H history shows a first-half goal in each of the last 3 meetings.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Consistent scoring form from both sides and H2H pattern suggest both teams are likely to find the net.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 44% vs our 55% estimate gives a +11pt edge, but the confidence is only MEDIUM and the market is highly liquid; the edge may be overstated due to small sample size.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Qualifying | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-1 | 6 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2 |

