Dalstorps IF4IK Kongahalla1

HT 1–0Sun 9 Aug 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–0100%

Edges4–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Aug 2026, 16:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Dalstorps IF’s strong home form and IK Kongahalla’s poor away record make a home win the most likely outcome, but the 1.55 odds offer no value.

The best edge is in the 1st Half Result market backing Dalstorps at 1.95, where our 55% estimate beats the implied 51%. Avoid short-priced markets like Draw No Bet and Over 0.5 First Half Goals, which are significantly overvalued.

Context

Home record: 5W-2D-1L, 17 goals scored, 8 conceded.
- Scored 2+ goals in 6 of 8 home games.
- Led at halftime in 5 of 8 home matches.
Away record: 1W-3D-3L, 8 goals scored, 14 conceded.
- Conceded 2+ goals in 5 of 7 away matches.
- Trailed at halftime in 4 of 7 away games.
23 May 2026: IK Kongahälla 1-3 Dalstorps IF.
- Dalstorps led 3-0 at halftime.
- Kongahalla have lost 3 of their last 5 home/away matches against Dalstorps (based on available data).
Dalstorps IF: 4th place, 26 points from 15 matches.
- IK Kongahalla: 12th place, 12 points from 15 matches.
- Dalstorps are 8 points off the promotion playoff spot, while Kongahalla are 4 points above the relegation zone.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Dalstorps IF

1.54fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 65%

0.0ppshort

Dalstorps IF's strong home form (5W-2D-1L) and IK Kongahalla's poor away record (1W-3D-3L) make a home win highly likely.

Total Goals HomewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 1.5

1.10fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 90.9%

−15.9ppshort

Dalstorps IF scored 2+ in 6 of 8 home games and Kongahalla conceded 2+ in 5 of 7 away games.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.40fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches and season averages show a tendency for high-scoring games, supporting over 2.5 goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF's strong home form and superior league position, combined with IK Kongahalla's poor away record, make a home win highly likely.
- Dalstorps IF home record: 5W-2D-1L, 17 goals scored, 8 conceded in 8 matches.
- IK Kongahalla away record: 1W-3D-3L, 8 goals scored, 14 conceded in 7 matches.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: 3W-1D-1L, scoring 12 goals; IK Kongahalla last 5: 1W-2D-2L, scoring 4 goals.
- Dalstorps IF rank 4th with 26 points; IK Kongahalla rank 12th with 12 points, 14 points gap.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDalstorps IFEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF's strong home form and IK Kongahalla's poor away record make a home win or draw very likely.
- Dalstorps IF home record: only 1 loss in 8 games.
- IK Kongahalla away record: only 1 win in 7 games.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDalstorps IF or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF often starts strong at home, while IK Kongahalla frequently concedes early away, giving the home side a first-half edge.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: led at halftime in 5 of 8 games.
- IK Kongahalla away matches: trailed at halftime in 4 of 7 games.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: led at halftime in 3 of 5.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: trailed at halftime in 2 of 5.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDalstorps IFEstimated chance55%

Goals5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches and season averages show a tendency for high-scoring games, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Dalstorps IF home matches average 3.1 total goals (17 scored, 8 conceded in 8 games).
- IK Kongahalla away matches average 3.1 total goals (8 scored, 14 conceded in 7 games).
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of both scoring in their respective home/away splits and recent form, making BTTS likely.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: both teams scored in 5 of 8 games.
- IK Kongahalla away matches: both teams scored in 5 of 7 games.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: both teams scored in 4 of 5.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: both teams scored in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF consistently scores multiple goals at home, and IK Kongahalla's away defense is leaky, making over 1.5 home goals highly probable.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: scored at least 2 goals in 6 of 8 games.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: scored 2+ goals in 4 of 5.
- IK Kongahalla away matches: conceded 2+ goals in 5 of 7 games.
- Dalstorps IF average home goals: 2.1 per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonDalstorps IF over 1.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high rate of first-half goals in their respective home/away splits and recent form, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: first-half goals in 7 of 8 games.
- IK Kongahalla away matches: first-half goals in 6 of 7 games.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: first-half goals in 4 of 5.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: first-half goals in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While both teams show moderate second-half scoring, the evidence is not strong enough for high confidence, but the trend suggests a 50% chance.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: second-half goals average 1.6 per game (total goals minus first-half goals).
- IK Kongahalla away matches: second-half goals average 1.7 per game.
- Dalstorps IF last 5 matches: second-half over 1.5 in 3 of 5.
- IK Kongahalla last 5 matches: second-half over 1.5 in 2 of 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner data, the prediction relies on league averages, but confidence is low due to missing team-level stats.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Division 2 - Västra Götaland average corners per game is approximately 9.2 based on league-wide estimates.
- Dalstorps IF home matches: no corner data available.
- IK Kongahalla away matches: no corner data available.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 65% win estimate; the draw safety net is overpriced.

Prediction history

Dalstorps IF has been highly reliable when projected to see Over 2.5 goals

In 5 recent matches where Over 2.5 goals was projected, Dalstorps IF fulfilled the prediction 4 times. The average estimated probability for fulfilled predictions was 61.8%, slightly above the overall average of 60.4%, while the single miss had a lower probability of 55%. At home, all 3 such projections were fulfilled, showing a perfect record in that context.

Recent evidence for Dalstorps IF5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

26 Jun·Division 2 - Västra Götaland