Kisvarda or Draw
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 75%
Kisvarda's dominant home H2H streak (5 wins, 15-2 aggregate) and Ujpest's defensive disruption from the late left-back departure make a home loss highly unlikely.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Kisvárda's five-match home winning streak over Újpest and the visitors' last-minute left-back departure make the double chance (1X) at 1.43 the standout bet, with a 5-point edge over the implied probability.
Goals are expected, but the over 2.5 line offers only slim value, while cards over 4.5 is a secondary angle given Kisvárda's aggressive tactical shift.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 75%
Kisvarda's dominant home H2H streak (5 wins, 15-2 aggregate) and Ujpest's defensive disruption from the late left-back departure make a home loss highly unlikely.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 60%
Ujpest's league matches average 4.5 total goals and 4 of last 5 H2H at Kisvarda went over 2.5, outweighing Kisvarda's modest home goal average.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
Kisvarda coach demands physical play, and Ujpest away matches average 5.2 total cards, suggesting a card-heavy contest.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 42% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the edge is too thin for a medium-confidence call.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KisvardaPlay-offs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-4 | 3 |

