San Antonio Ibarra or Draw
Market 64% · BetBugs 75%
San Antonio are unbeaten at home this season (3W, 6D) while Gualaceo have only 1 away win in 9 attempts, making a home win or draw highly probable.
Liga Pro Serie BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
San Antonio's unbeaten home record and Gualaceo's draw-heavy away form make a stalemate the most likely outcome, with value on the draw at 2.90 and the double chance home/draw at 1.57.
Expect a tight first half (under 1.5 goals) and avoid markets like San Antonio 2Up or Gualaceo Draw No Bet.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 64% · BetBugs 75%
San Antonio are unbeaten at home this season (3W, 6D) while Gualaceo have only 1 away win in 9 attempts, making a home win or draw highly probable.
Market 34% · BetBugs 40%
San Antonio's strong home form (unbeaten but many draws) combined with Gualaceo's tendency to draw away suggests a stalemate is the most likely outcome, reinforced by the recent H2H draw.
Market 54% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to be level at the break, with San Antonio's home half-time draws and Gualaceo's solid first-half defense pointing to another stalemate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The 2Up market requires a two-goal lead at any point, which is unlikely given San Antonio's low-scoring home draws and Gualaceo's defensive resilience.
In 7 recent matches, San Antonio Ibarra's Under 2.5 goals projection was fulfilled 5 times. The average estimated probability for fulfilled predictions (65.2%) was slightly lower than for missed predictions (67.5%), suggesting the misses were not due to lower confidence. At home, 3 of 4 such projections were fulfilled, while away it was 2 of 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Antonio Ibarra | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21-20 | 24 |
| 6 | Gualaceo | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 15-14 | 25 |

