Deportivo Madryn2All Boys0

HT 0–0Sun 2 Aug 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–189%

Edges5–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 29 Jul 2026, 11:59 · Europe/Bucharest

A low-scoring stalemate is on the cards as goal-shy All Boys visit a solid Deportivo Madryn side.

The best betting value is found in first-half markets: back Under 0.5 first-half goals at 2.10 and the first-half result to be a draw at 1.85, both offering positive edges against the implied probabilities.

Context

All Boys average 0.6 goals per game overall and 0.55 per away match.
- They have scored in only 5 of 11 away games, with 6 total away goals.
- In their last 5 away matches, they scored just 2 goals (0.4 per game).
Home record: 4W-4D-2L, with 14 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 home games.
- Only Colon Santa Fe and Ferro Carril Oeste have beaten them at home.
Last 3 results: 1-0 All Boys (Mar 2026), 0-0 draw (Sep 2025), 2-1 Deportivo Madryn (May 2025).
- All three matches went Under 2.5 goals, and two saw at least one team fail to score.
- The 2022 meeting also ended 1-1, reinforcing the low-scoring trend.
Zone winners earn direct promotion; a second spot is decided via a knockout Reducido.
- Both clubs are still jostling for position with many matches remaining.
- No indication of rotation or dead-rubber mentality from either side.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Deportivo Madryn or Draw

1.18fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 85%

0.0ppshort

All Boys' inability to win away (1/11) combined with Deportivo Madryn's solid home form (8/10 unbeaten) makes a home win or draw highly likely.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 2.5

1.38fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

All Boys' extremely low scoring rate (0.6 goals per game overall, 0.55 away) and a history of low-scoring H2H encounters strongly point to Under 2.5 goals.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.50fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

All Boys' offensive struggles, especially on the road, combined with Deportivo Madryn's decent defensive home record, make it likely that at least one team fails to score.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Madryn's strong home form and All Boys' poor away record (only 1 win in 11) give the hosts a clear edge, supported by a significant goal-scoring advantage.
- Deportivo Madryn home record: 4W-4D-2L, 14 goals scored, 10 conceded in 10 matches.
- All Boys away record: 1W-3D-7L, 6 goals scored, 16 conceded in 11 matches.
- Last 5 matches: Deportivo Madryn 2W-2D-1L, All Boys 1W-4D-0L.
- Deportivo Madryn averages 1.4 goals per game overall, All Boys only 0.6.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDeportivo MadrynEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' inability to win away (1/11) combined with Deportivo Madryn's solid home form (8/10 unbeaten) makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- Deportivo Madryn home losses: only 2 in 10 matches.
- All Boys away wins: only 1 in 11 matches.
- All Boys have drawn 11 of 22 overall matches this season.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 1 win each and 1 draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDeportivo Madryn or DrawEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' extremely low first-half scoring rate and high draw percentage at halftime, combined with Deportivo Madryn's tendency for first-half draws, make a halftime draw the most likely outcome.
- Deportivo Madryn led at halftime in 40% of matches, but drew 53% of first halves.
- All Boys led at halftime in only 7% of matches, drew 66% of first halves.
- All Boys first-half goals: 0.1 per game, conceded 0.5.
- H2H last 3: 2 draws at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Madryn's superior overall quality and home advantage could see them edge the second half, but All Boys' resilience makes this a low-confidence call.
- Deportivo Madryn second-half goal difference: +0.7 (1.4 total - 0.7 first half).
- All Boys second-half goal difference: +0.5 (0.6 total - 0.1 first half).
- Deportivo Madryn home advantage may increase pressure in second half.
- All Boys away second-half record: often concede late (16 away goals conceded, many in second half).
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDeportivo MadrynEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A halftime draw followed by a Deportivo Madryn win is a plausible scenario given their second-half strength and All Boys' tendency to fade, but the low probability reflects the difficulty of predicting exact sequences.
- Deportivo Madryn drew at halftime in 53% of matches, won 33% overall.
- All Boys drew at halftime in 66% of matches, won only 18% overall.
- H2H: one match ended 0-0 at halftime and 1-0 to All Boys, but Deportivo Madryn won the other meeting 2-1 after a 0-0 halftime.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / Deportivo MadrynEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' extremely low scoring rate (0.6 goals per game overall, 0.55 away) and a history of low-scoring H2H encounters strongly point to Under 2.5 goals.
- All Boys matches average 1.7 total goals (13 scored, 20 conceded in 22 games).
- Deportivo Madryn home matches average 2.4 total goals (14 scored, 10 conceded in 10 games).
- H2H last 3 meetings: 1-0, 0-0, 2-1 — all Under 2.5 goals.
- All Boys away matches: only 6 goals scored in 11 games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
All Boys' offensive struggles, especially on the road, combined with Deportivo Madryn's decent defensive home record, make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- All Boys failed to score in 11 of 22 matches this season.
- All Boys away: scored in only 5 of 11 matches, with 6 total goals.
- Deportivo Madryn home: kept clean sheets in 3 of 10 matches.
- H2H last 2 meetings: both ended with at least one team failing to score (1-0, 0-0).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
While Deportivo Madryn averages 1.4 goals at home, All Boys' defense often limits opponents to low scores, and the H2H trend suggests a tight match where the hosts may not exceed one goal.
- Deportivo Madryn home goals: 14 in 10 matches (1.4 per game), but 5 of 10 home games had 1 or fewer goals.
- All Boys away conceded: 16 in 11 matches (1.45 per game), but 7 of 11 away games saw them concede 1 or fewer.
- H2H: Deportivo Madryn scored 2, 0, and 1 in last three meetings vs All Boys.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostDeportivo Madryn under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, especially All Boys who have scored only 0.1 first-half goals per game, making a goalless first half a strong possibility.
- Deportivo Madryn first-half goals: 0.7 per game overall, but 0-0 at halftime in 6 of last 15 matches.
- All Boys first-half goals: 0.1 per game overall, with 0-0 at halftime in 10 of last 15 matches.
- All Boys first-half goals conceded: 0.5 per game.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 0-0 at halftime in 2 of 3.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of specific corner data, the expectation of a low-scoring, cautious match suggests total corners may stay under 8.5, but confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Primera Nacional average corners: typically low, around 8-9 per game.
- Low-scoring match expectation often correlates with fewer corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 53% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Prediction history

Deportivo Madryn Under 2.5 goals has underperformed expectations

Deportivo Madryn's Under 2.5 goals projection has been fulfilled in 2 of 6 recent matches. The average estimated probability was 66%, expecting around 4 fulfilled predictions, but only 2 occurred. Notably, all 3 home matches failed to stay under 2.5 goals, while both successful predictions came away from home.

Recent evidence for Deportivo Madryn6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

26 Jul·Primera Nacional