Pierre-Hugues Herbert #296France22 – 0Norbert Gombos #355Slovakia0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Gombos has been the more consistent player recently and his serve and return numbers are clearly better than Herbert's.

• Gombos 11-4 in his last 15 (53.6% total points won); Herbert 5-10 (49.4%).
• On hard this window Gombos is 2-0 with 80% of sets won; Herbert is 1-3 with 36.4% of sets won.
• Gombos averages 2.3 double faults and holds 53.4% of second-serve points; Herbert averages 6.5 double faults and 48.5%.
• Gombos came through two indoor-hard qualifying wins at Roanne, the latest a three-setter on 12 October.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have consistently played long second sets, with averages well above the line.

• Herbert's hard-court second sets average 11.25 total games.
• Gombos's hard-court second sets average 11.5 total games.
• Herbert's second sets on hard show 5.25 games won and 6 lost.
• Gombos has one second-set tiebreak in his tracked hard-court sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players are prone to tight sets and one-break swings, which points toward a longer match than the line.

• Herbert's hard-court matches average 28.5 games over his 4 tracked matches.
• Gombos's hard-court matches average 26 games over 2 tracked matches.
• Three of Herbert's last four completed hard-court matches went to a deciding set.
• The match-winner spread implies roughly a 58% chance of a three-set match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined first-set average sits just above the line, with both players trading service games.

• Herbert's first sets on hard average 10 total games.
• Gombos's first sets average 9.5 total games.
• Only one first-set tiebreak appears across the six tracked hard-court matches.
• Herbert's 6.5 double faults per match make a break in each set plausible.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have frequently been taken to a deciding set, and the serving patterns suggest a close encounter.

• Three of Herbert's four hard-court matches went to a deciding set.
• Gombos has played one three-set and one straight-set match on hard.
• Herbert's hard-court matches average 2.75 sets; Gombos's average 2.5.
• The set-betting spread gives a 58% chance of three sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Gombos has been much stronger in second sets, while Herbert has lost three of four on this surface.

• Gombos has won both of his tracked hard-court second sets, averaging 6.5 games to 5.
• Herbert has won only 1 of 4 second sets on hard.
• Gombos's overall record is 11-4 in the last 15 matches.
• Herbert's second-serve points won on hard is just 44%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Gombos's better recent serving makes him the more likely player to take the opening set.

• Gombos has won 1 of 2 first sets on hard, with an average of 4.5 games won and 5 lost.
• Herbert has won 2 of 4 first sets on hard this window.
• Gombos's recent 11-4 record includes strong starts in both qualifying wins.
• Herbert's 6.5 double faults per match create early break chances.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Half the tracked hard-court matches already contained a tiebreak, and both players hold serve well.

• Two of Herbert's four hard-court matches featured at least one tiebreak.
• One of Gombos's two hard-court matches featured a tiebreak.
• Gombos's most recent qualifying win included a 7-6 set.
• Both players serve strongly enough to hold through to a tiebreak.