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Predictions graded

Nicolas Kicker #351Argentina0Thiago Cigarran #622Argentina2

Sets 3-6 · 0-3Mon 5 Oct 2026, 15:39 Predictions gradedIndoor

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageNicolas Kicker · 271 places

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

Kicker reached a career-high No. 78 on 12 June 2017. ATP lists hard courts as his favourite surface; his supplied ranking is No. 365.

Current ranking: #351
Peak ranking: #78 · 2017
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Thiago Cigarran

Argentina

Argentine right-hander, 26. ITF records a career-best ATP singles ranking of No. 717 on 15 June 2026; no official preferred-surface designation was found.

Current ranking: #622
Peak ranking: #717 · 2026
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 5 Oct 2026, 23:36 · Europe/Bucharest

Two clay-court winners from 4 October meet with a 271-place ranking gap: Nicolas Kicker (351) against Thiago Cigarran (622) in Antofagasta.

Kicker's recent wins include Hugo Dellien (128) and Marco Cecchinato (163), so he looks the likelier winner over three sets. The price worth noting is Kicker at 2.30, which makes him the outsider for a match his form says he should win. Cigarran at 1.55 asks too much of him.

Context

Kicker is ranked 351, 271 places above Cigarran, and every one of his six supplied recent completed matches was played on clay.
Dellien is ranked more than 200 places above Cigarran, so this result is the clearest sign that Kicker can handle better opposition than the man in front of him. It is one match rather than a pattern, and he needed three sets after dropping the first, so it is a positive marker rather than proof of control.
- 23 Sep 2026: beat Hugo Dellien (ranked 128) 4-6 7-5 6-0 on clay.
Cigarran is ranked 622 and arrives off a 6-2 6-2 win over the unranked Anders Matta on 4 October 2026.
Cigarran's 9-5 record in the supplied recent window looks solid until the names behind it are checked: the wins came against unranked players or Frazier Rengifo (1613), while the ranked men he met, Pereira (339) and Bennani (433), both beat him. Kicker is ranked above that pair, so the raw record is a weak guide to this particular match.
- 4 Sep 2026: lost to Karim Bennani (ranked 433) 1-6 6-7 on clay.
- In the supplied recent window his four wins came against unranked opponents or Frazier Rengifo (1613), while his defeats came to Pereira (339) and Bennani (433).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Kicker is higher ranked and has recent clay wins over stronger opponents than Cigarran has beaten.
- Ranked 351, 271 places above Cigarran at 622.
- In the supplied recent completed matches: 8 wins, 5 losses, excluding two retirements.
- Recent clay wins include Hugo Dellien (128) and Marco Cecchinato (163).
- Recent clay losses to Facundo Mena (197) and Maxim Mrva (217).
BetBugs · Match Winnernot gradableNicolas KickerEstimated chance65%

Prediction history

Nicolas Kicker: 5/6 recent winner projections matched

5 of 6 comparable winner projections favouring Nicolas Kicker matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Nicolas Kicker6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

29 Jul·Liberec - Czech Republic

#369Nicolas Kicker1-2#235Frederico Ferreira Silva

BetBugsNicolas Kicker to win·62%

Missed

29 Jul 2026

Liberec - Czech Republic

#369Nicolas Kicker1-2#235Frederico Ferreira Silva

Nicolas Kicker to win

62%probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva won

Missed

26 Jun·Piracicaba - Brazil

#340Nicolas Kicker2-0#802Nicolas Zanellato

BetBugsNicolas Kicker to win·82%

Matched

26 Jun 2026

Piracicaba - Brazil

#340Nicolas Kicker2-0#802Nicolas Zanellato

Nicolas Kicker to win

82%probability

Nicolas Kicker won

Matched

25 Jun·Piracicaba - Brazil

#343Nicolas Kicker2-1#604Bruno Fernandez

BetBugsNicolas Kicker to win·72%

Matched

25 Jun 2026

Piracicaba - Brazil

#343Nicolas Kicker2-1#604Bruno Fernandez

Nicolas Kicker to win

72%probability

Nicolas Kicker won

Matched

16 Jun·Asuncion - Paraguay

#361Nicolas Kicker2-0#887Federico Coria

BetBugsNicolas Kicker to win·72%

Matched

16 Jun 2026

Asuncion - Paraguay

#361Nicolas Kicker2-0#887Federico Coria

Nicolas Kicker to win

72%probability

Nicolas Kicker won

Matched

12 Jun·San Miguel de Tucuman - Argentina

#361Nicolas Kicker2-0#887Federico Coria

BetBugsNicolas Kicker to win·62%

Matched

12 Jun 2026

San Miguel de Tucuman - Argentina

#361Nicolas Kicker2-0#887Federico Coria

Nicolas Kicker to win

62%probability

Nicolas Kicker won

Matched

Nicolas Kicker

9W 6L

6-3 6-4—Milledge Cossu

6-4 6-4#197Facundo Mena

4-6 7-5 6-0#128Hugo Dellien

1-6 6-2 6-0#790Tomas Martinez

6-2 6-2#217Maxim Mrva

6-4 4-6 6-2#163Marco Cecchinato

6-4 6-1#229Francesco Passaro

6-4 6-4#328Thomas Faurel

0-6 6-4 4-0 ret.#173Stefano Travaglia

6-4 6-2#217Maxim Mrva

6-2 6-2—Yannik Weissmann

6-2 4-6 6-1#262Frederico Ferreira Silva

6-2 6-4#329Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

6-4 6-4#190Diego Dedura

6-0 1-0 ret.#136Thiago Seyboth Wild

Thiago Cigarran

9W 6L

6-2 6-2—Anders Matta

6-1 4-0 ret.#790Tomas Martinez

6-4 7-5—Santiago Pesino

6-3 2-6 7-6(5)#339Tiago Pereira

6-1 7-6(6)#433Karim Bennani

6-3 6-1—Idriss Haddouch

6-2 6-3#1613Frazier Rengifo

1-6 6-4 7-6(4)—Jannik Maute

2-6 6-2 6-3#840William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

6-2 6-3—Frederic Schlossmann

5-7 6-4 6-2—Thanaphat Boosarawongse

6-4 6-3#216Lorenzo Giustino

2-6 6-4 6-3#537Luca Wiedenmann

4-6 7-5 6-2#894Michael Zhu

6-2 7-5#554Adrian Oetzbach

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

NKNicolas KickerKicker

Last 15

1–2

9 core stats · 6 even

Thiago CigarranCigarranTC

Thiago Cigarran carries the stronger recent form — Nicolas Kicker's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–1 · 3 even

1st Serve In67.1%—67.1%

1st Serve Won63.4%+0.9pp64.3%

2nd Serve Won50.5%+2.9pp47.6%

Aces / Match1.5—1.5

Double Faults / Match2.5—2.3

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won43.3%—43.8%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted50.0%—49.6%

Break Pts Saved45.2%+14.4pp59.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won51.0%—51.2%

Serve · 1–1 · 3 even

67.1%1st Serve In—67.1%

63.4%1st Serve Won+0.9pp64.3%

50.5%2nd Serve Won+2.9pp47.6%

1.5Aces / Match—1.5

2.5Double Faults / Match—2.3

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

43.3%Return Pts Won—43.8%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

50.0%Break Pts Converted—49.6%

45.2%Break Pts Saved+14.4pp59.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

51.0%Total Pts Won—51.2%