Luis Queiroz Miguel #850Brazil22 – 0Facundo Mena #333Argentina0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Mena is the higher-ranked, in-form clay player who has been beating better opposition than Queiroz Miguel has faced, while the teenager is just starting out on the senior tour.

• Mena is 13-2 on clay across his tracked window, winning 78.8% of sets and 56.3% of games; Queiroz Miguel is 6-4 on clay with 59.1% of sets and 53.4% of games
• Mena won the Porto Challenger and reached three straight Challenger finals on clay, beating Dellien (129) and Heide (120) in that run
• Queiroz Miguel is ATP 657 and a 17-year-old playing his first event as a full professional, against the sixth seed
• Queiroz Miguel's clay sample includes losses to players ranked 638; Mena has won four straight clay matches without dropping a set

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets have been the shorter set for both players, and Mena often pulls clear once he settles.

• Mena's set2 average total is 8.87 games on clay
• Mena has won second sets 6-0, 6-1 and 6-3 in recent clay matches
• Queiroz Miguel's set2 average total is 8.9 games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' clay matches have generally landed near or above this line, and Mena's straight-set wins have often been close in games.

• Mena's average clay match total is 21.2 games; Queiroz Miguel's is 20.6
• Mena's straight-set clay wins this month have totalled 18, 20, 23, 15 and 23 games
• Mena's set1 games average is 10.33 on clay

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Mena has been dominant in second sets on clay, and Queiroz Miguel has an even record in that set.

• Mena won 12 of 15 second sets on clay, with an average 5.33 games won to 3.53 lost
• Mena has won four straight clay matches in straight sets, including sets of 6-0 and 6-1
• Queiroz Miguel is 5-5 in second sets on clay

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mena has been closing out clay matches quickly, and most of Queiroz Miguel's completed clay matches have also ended in two sets.

• Mena's clay scorelines are 10 straight-set wins against 3 three-set wins
• Queiroz Miguel's clay set wins are 20 of 33, with 5 of his 10 matches finishing 2-0 either way
• Mena has won his last four clay matches in straight sets

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Mena has mostly won on clay without dropping a set, and his recent wins have been one-sided.

• 10 of Mena's 15 clay matches finished 2-0
• Mena's straight-set clay wins this month include 6-0 and 6-1 sets
• Queiroz Miguel's clay scorelines show 5 two-set wins and 3 two-set losses

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks have come in fewer than half of these players' clay matches, so a match without one is the more likely outcome.

• Mena has had 6 tiebreaks in 15 clay matches; Queiroz Miguel 3 in 10
• Mena's set1 tiebreak count is 4 in 15 and set2 is 1 in 15
• Most of Mena's recent clay sets have been decided by breaks rather than tiebreaks

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Neither player is a heavy ace server, and the combined clay average sits just below this line.

• Mena averages 4.9 aces per clay match; Queiroz Miguel averages 1.5 on clay
• Combined clay average is roughly 6.4 aces per match
• Mena's clay matches average 106.9 minutes and Queiroz Miguel's 97.4 minutes

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined double-fault rate is close to this line, and Mena in particular has been tidy on serve.

• Queiroz Miguel averages 3.0 double faults per clay match; Mena 2.2
• Combined clay average is roughly 5.2 per match
• Queiroz Miguel has 30 double faults in 10 clay matches