Xinyu Wang #41China11 – 2Tatiana Prozorova #166Russia2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Prozorova has kept most of her recent hard-court matches close, and Wang has not been winning by wide game margins.

• Prozorova's hard-court games: 118 won, 112 lost, a margin of +6 across 10 matches
• Wang's average hard-court margin is +1.7 games per match
• Four of Prozorova's six hard-court wins came in three sets, keeping margins tight

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Prozorova's matches are long and close, which pushes the game count up even when she loses.

• Prozorova's hard matches average 23.0 games; Wang's 21.5
• Prozorova's two Singapore matches produced 31 and 33 games
• Two of Prozorova's recent wins went 17-14 and 18-15 in games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Prozorova has started slowly all week and across this window, while Wang has generally taken the first set in her hard-court matches.

• Wang has won the opening set in 6 of 10 hard matches; Prozorova in 3 of 10
• Prozorova lost the first set in both Singapore rounds, 5-7 and 4-6
• Wang's hard-court set-one average is 4.9 games won to 4.6 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

These two players have mostly broken serve and closed sets out rather than forcing tiebreaks.

• Tiebreaks were absent from 17 of the 20 combined hard matches tracked
• Prozorova has one match with a tiebreak in her last 10 hard matches
• Wang's average hard match lasts 100 minutes without reaching many 6-6 sets

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined hard-court ace rate of about 5.6 per match sits below the line, and Prozorova is not a heavy ace server.

• Wang averages 3.1 aces per hard match, Prozorova 2.5
• Prozorova's hard-court ace rate is 2.5 per match over 10 matches
• Wang's hard-court ace rate is below her 15-match overall rate of 4.0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Wang's hard-court double-fault rate is high and Prozorova adds around three per match, so the combined rate clears the line.

• Wang averages 4.5 double faults per hard match, Prozorova 2.7
• Combined hard-court average is about 7.2 double faults per match
• Wang's double-fault rate is higher on hard than her 15-match overall mark of 3.9