Eduardo Ribeiro #361Brazil22 – 0Pedro Martinez Portero #132Spain0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Martinez is the higher-ranked clay specialist with better recent results, though he arrives from Davis Cup doubles duty.

• Martinez is ranked No. 132, 229 places above Ribeiro (No. 361).
• On clay this season, Martinez is 4-4; Ribeiro is 6-9.
• Martinez won four of six recent clay matches, including a three-set win over Laslo Djere (No. 183).
• Ribeiro has lost 9 of 15 clay matches, including three straight-set defeats in his last six.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Martinez's first-set games average sits below 9.5, and he often starts with a break.

• Ribeiro's first sets average 9.7 total games; Martinez's average 8.8.
• Martinez has played only one first-set tiebreak in eight clay matches.
• Martinez's first-set games average is 8.75, below the line.
• Ribeiro's first-set average is just 0.17 games above the line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets for both players hover around the line, with Martinez slightly shorter but Ribeiro often longer.

• Ribeiro's second sets average 10.1 total games; Martinez's average 9.0.
• Martinez won a second set 7-6 against Forti in his last six matches.
• Ribeiro has two second-set tiebreaks in 15 clay matches; Martinez one in eight.
• The combined second-set average is 9.5 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Straight-set results dominate their recent clay records, and Martinez is a strong enough favourite to win in two.

• Ribeiro has won or lost 2-0 in 12 of 15 clay matches.
• Martinez has won or lost 2-0 in six of eight clay matches.
• Their combined straight-set rate on clay is 78%.
• Ribeiro has lost 7 of 15 clay matches 0-2.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.29

The read

Martinez has been stronger in second sets on clay, often raising his level after a close opener.

• Martinez has won 5 of 8 second sets on clay; Ribeiro has won 7 of 15.
• Martinez won the second set in five of his last six completed clay matches.
• Martinez's second-set game differential is +0.5; Ribeiro's is -0.2.
• Ribeiro lost the second set in three of his last six clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Martinez is the clear favourite and often wins in straight sets on clay.

• Martinez has won 3 of 8 clay matches 2-0 and 1 by 2-1.
• Ribeiro has lost 7 of 15 clay matches 0-2.
• Martinez is ranked 229 places higher.
• Martinez's last two 2-0 wins on clay were 12-3 and 12-3 in games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Martinez is the match favourite but has started slowly on clay, so the first set is close.

• Martinez has won only 3 of 8 first sets on clay; Ribeiro has won 6 of 15.
• Martinez averages 3.9 games won in first sets on clay, Ribeiro 4.7.
• Martinez lost the first set in his recent win over Djere (2-6).
• Ribeiro has won 40% of first sets on clay.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks are rare in both players' recent clay matches, and Martinez often wins sets without reaching 6-6.

• No tiebreak occurred in 18 of 23 combined clay matches.
• Martinez has played only one tiebreak in eight clay matches.
• Ribeiro's first sets have two tiebreaks in 15; second sets two in 15.
• Most sets for both end with a break of serve.