United StatesATP US OpenFinished
Predictions gradedItalian right-hander from Perugia whose career-high singles ranking is No. 89, reached in February 2025. Official ITF profile data lists clay as his preferred surface.
Reached a career-high No. 185 on August 3, 2026. Two of his three Challenger finals have come on clay, but no reliable source explicitly identifies a preferred surface.
Pre-match view
Tom Gentzsch is favored over Francesco Passaro in US Open qualifying, with superior recent form, a stronger serve, and a higher ranking.
The best betting value is on Gentzsch to win the match at 1.91, with the over 22.5 total games also offering a slight edge. Avoid the straight-sets market due to limited hard-court data for both players.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 62%
Gentzsch's stronger recent form and serve metrics give him a clear edge, supported by his higher ranking and immediate hard-court win.
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 60%
Gentzsch's strong first-serve numbers and high career first-set conversion rate suggest he is more likely to take the opening set.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 58%
Competitive baseline rallies and moderate return numbers suggest a match that extends beyond the minimum games.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Tom Gentzsch has fulfilled 7 of 9 recent win predictions, a 78% success rate. His average estimated probability was 62.4%, with an expected 5.6 wins, so he has outperformed expectations. The two missed predictions both resulted in losses, with no draws or wins in those matches.
Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.
Last 15
9 core stats · 1 even
Dead-even recent form — the edges are in serve.
