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Predictions graded

Moise Kouame #213France2Roman Andres Burruchaga #56Argentina0

Sets 6-2 · 6-2Fri 21 Aug 2026, 01:35 Predictions gradedSecond RoundHard

Predictions2–433%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageRoman Andres Burruchaga · 157 places

Moise Kouame

France

French right-hander born in March 2009. The ITF lists a 25-13 professional record in 2026, with his stronger recorded win rate on hard courts than clay.

Current ranking: #213
Peak ranking: #211 · 2026
Current age: 17
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina

Burruchaga reached a career-high No. 56 on 4 May 2026. No reliable source in the specified searches established a current injury concern or a clearly sourced surface preference.

Current ranking: #56
Peak ranking: #56 · 2026
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Aug 2026, 15:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Kouame has a slight edge in recent form and break point saving, making him a value bet at 2.25 to win the match.

The match is likely to be competitive, with over 22.5 total games a solid angle. Avoid betting on Kouame in the first set or on a 2-1 set score due to his recent hard-court struggles.

Context

Burruchaga last15 hard-court record: 0-2, with losses to Jan-Lennard Struff and Alexei Popyrin.
- Burruchaga 2026 hard-court record: 2 wins, 6 losses.
- Burruchaga's career hard-court win percentage is much lower than his clay win percentage (39 wins vs 221 wins).
Kouame last15 overall record: 8-7 (53.3%).
- Burruchaga last15 overall record: 6-9 (40%).
- Kouame's most recent match: 6-1 6-4 win over Felipe Meligeni Alves on hard court.
Burruchaga last15 hard-court aces per match: 10.0 (2 matches).
- Kouame last15 hard-court aces per match: 4.5 (2 matches).
- Burruchaga's first serve points won on hard court: 72.9% vs Kouame's 70.3%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.25
The read
Kouame's stronger recent form and better hard-court sample, combined with superior break point saving, give him a slight edge on this surface.
- Kouame last15 overall record 8-7 (53.3%) vs Burruchaga 6-9 (40%)
- Kouame last15 hard-court record 1-1 (50%) vs Burruchaga 0-2 (0%)
- Kouame last15 break points saved 66.9% vs Burruchaga 54.7%
- Kouame last15 first serve points won 67.8% vs Burruchaga 65.3%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMoise KouameEstimated chance55%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have shown competitive, extended matches recently, and Burruchaga's hard-court losses have been long, supporting a higher total games line.
- Kouame last15 average duration 129.5 minutes, Burruchaga 124 minutes
- Kouame last15 games won 51.3%, Burruchaga 47.5%
- Kouame last15 hard-court matches averaged 17 games per match (2 matches)
- Burruchaga last15 hard-court matches averaged 30.5 games per match (2 matches)
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 22.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first sets for both players have often been close, and their serve numbers suggest a competitive opening set.
- Kouame last15 first set average games: 9.5 (from recent form)
- Burruchaga last15 first set average games: 10.1 (from recent form)
- Both players have first serve points won around 65-70% on hard courts
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kouame's slightly better recent first-serve effectiveness and comparable first-set conversion support a narrow edge in the opening set.
- Kouame first set win conversion career 84% vs Burruchaga 84%
- Kouame last15 first serve points won 67.8% vs Burruchaga 65.3%
- Kouame last15 hard-court first serve points won 70.3% vs Burruchaga 72.9%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMoise KouameEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Burruchaga's hard-court ace rate is high in a small sample, and combined with Kouame's steady ace output, the total could exceed 8.5.
- Kouame last15 aces per match 4.5, Burruchaga 3.9
- Kouame last15 hard-court aces per match 4.5 (2 matches)
- Burruchaga last15 hard-court aces per match 10.0 (2 matches)
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 4-5 double faults per match, making over 7.5 plausible in a competitive match.
- Kouame last15 double faults per match 5.3, Burruchaga 3.7
- Kouame last15 hard-court double faults per match 4.0 (2 matches)
- Burruchaga last15 hard-court double faults per match 4.5 (2 matches)
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Previous match context available

Moise Kouame

8W 7L

6-1 6-4#567Felipe Meligeni Alves

6-1 6-4#355Edward Winter

6-4 6-2#47Nuno Borges

6-4 6-4#342Max Hans Rehberg

4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(9)#29Alejandro Tabilo

6-3 7-5 3-6 2-6 7-6(8)#70Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

7-6(4) 6-2 6-1#80Marin Cilic

6-3 7-6(3)#371Jacopo Vasami

2-6 6-4 6-0#100Benjamin Bonzi

6-2 6-2#115Patrick Kypson

6-3 4-6 6-3#411Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

6-2 6-3#299Philip Henning

6-1 6-2#359Andrey Chepelev

6-2 6-0#846Francesco Ferrari

7-5 2-6 6-4#436Henry Bernet

Roman Andres Burruchaga

6W 9L

7-6(4) 2-6 6-3#43Jan-Lennard Struff

4-6 7-5 6-3#128Alexei Popyrin

6-4 5-7 6-4#32Alexander Blockx

6-1 4-6 6-3#47Nuno Borges

6-4 4-6 6-3#125Stan Wawrinka

6-4 6-2#40Daniel Merida Aguilar

6-2 2-6 6-3#76Camilo Ugo Carabelli

6-2 6-4#10Flavio Cobolli

6-1 6-4#173Marco Cecchinato

6-3 6-3#318Max Schoenhaus

7-6(5) 6-1 6-0#8Alex De Minaur

6-2 4-6 7-5#37Arthur Fery

4-6 6-0 7-5 6-1#4Felix Auger Aliassime

2-6 7-5 6-2 2-0 ret.#53Sebastian Baez

6-3 7-6(4)#20Luciano Darderi

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MKMoise KouameKouame

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Roman Andres BurruchagaBurruchagaRB

Moise Kouame carries the stronger recent form — Roman Andres Burruchaga's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In58.7%+3.5pp62.2%

1st Serve Won67.8%+2.5pp65.3%

2nd Serve Won50.1%+3.7pp46.4%

Aces / Match4.5+0.63.9

Double Faults / Match5.31.6 fewer3.7

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won39.6%—39.4%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted35.9%+5.5pp41.4%

Break Pts Saved66.9%+12.2pp54.7%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won50.3%+1.7pp48.6%

Serve · 3–2

58.7%1st Serve In+3.5pp62.2%

67.8%1st Serve Won+2.5pp65.3%

50.1%2nd Serve Won+3.7pp46.4%

4.5Aces / Match+0.63.9

5.3Double Faults / Match1.6 fewer3.7

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

39.6%Return Pts Won—39.4%

Pressure · 1–1

35.9%Break Pts Converted+5.5pp41.4%

66.9%Break Pts Saved+12.2pp54.7%

Points · 1–0

50.3%Total Pts Won+1.7pp48.6%